Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Friday's NHL Matchup [4/11/2025]

The Tampa Bay Lightning will square off with the Detroit Red Wings in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Friday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Detroit-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Lightning's chance of winning is 69%, while the Red Wings' is 31%."

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Red Wings vs. Lightning predictions page.

Red Wings vs. Red Wings Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NHL matchup between the Red Wings and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 69% chance of beating the Red Wings.

According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Red Wings vs. Lightning Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Red Wings	Lightning
Puck Line	+1.5 (+105)	-1.5 (-122)
Moneyline	+280	-320
Total	o6 (-115)	u6 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Red Wings vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Red Wings vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Red Wings vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Red Wings vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Red Wings vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point an 8.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 42.0% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Detroit Red Wings

Player	First Goal Probability
Dylan Larkin	5.7%
Patrick Kane	4.8%
Lucas Raymond	4.7%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	8.6%
Jake Guentzel	8.6%
Nikita Kucherov	6.9%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Dylan Larkin	30.8%
Lucas Raymond	27.0%
Alex DeBrincat	26.7%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	42.0%
Jake Guentzel	41.6%
Nikita Kucherov	38.7%

Red Wings vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's game between the Lightning and Red Wings at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Friday, April 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Red Wings vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Detroit vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Wings vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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