Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - NFC Championship Game [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver
Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - NFC Championship Game [2024]

The San Francisco 49ers and Detroit Lions are scheduled to meet in the NFC Championship Game of the NFL Playoffs at Levi's Stadium on Sunday, starting at 6:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive betting preview for Sunday's Lions vs. 49ers matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Lions vs. 49ers Prediction: Home Team Favored To Win By Model

We have used innovative machine learning and data analysis to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Lions and 49ers 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the 49ers a 70% chance of defeating the Lions, and our predicted final score has the 49ers winning 28-22.

According to our model, the Lions (+7) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of going under.

This Detroit vs. San Francisco betting preview is brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Lions vs. 49ers Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lions 49ers
Spread +7 (+100) -7 (-120)
Moneyline +290 -340
Total o53.5 (-105) u53.5 (-112)
  • The 49ers are currently -7 favorites versus the Lions, with -120 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Lions (+7) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at +100.
  • DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the 49ers at -340. That means you can risk $340 to win $100 for a total payout of $440 if they get the W.
  • FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at +290, where you can bet $100 to profit $290, earning a total payout of $390 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 53.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while DraftKings currently has the best odds for the Under at -112.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Lions vs. 49ers Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Lions +7 +100 🔥
Moneyline Lions +290 🔥
Total Under 53.5 -112

 

Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best free picks of the day across all major pro and college sports.

While the 49ers are more likely to win the game, betting on the Lions moneyline is the best option due to the 4.8% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Our best NFL bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

Calling all football fans! If you are yet to sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook, today is the day! Click here to sign up, and then place a $5 wager on Detroit vs. San Francisco to receive $200 in bonus bets + a No Sweat SGP token every day of the playoffs, win or lose!

Lions vs. 49ers TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Lions vs. 49ers?

According to our model, San Francisco's Christian McCaffrey is most likely to score the first touchdown in Lions vs. 49ers.

Our projections give McCaffrey a 20.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Levi's Stadium, while the 49ers RB is a 75.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Detroit Lions

Player First TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs 8.9%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 7.7%
Sam LaPorta 7.1%
David Montgomery 7.1%
Jameson Williams 4.6%

San Francisco 49ers

Player First TD Probability
Christian McCaffrey 20.3%
Deebo Samuel 9.0%
Brandon Aiyuk 8.6%
George Kittle 7.9%
Jauan Jennings 2.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Detroit Lions

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jahmyr Gibbs 43.0%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 39.3%
Sam LaPorta 36.0%
David Montgomery 35.6%
Jameson Williams 24.5%

San Francisco 49ers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Christian McCaffrey 75.3%
Deebo Samuel 43.1%
Brandon Aiyuk 41.6%
George Kittle 38.6%
Jauan Jennings 15.4%

Lions vs 49ers Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Lions and 49ers, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Lions vs. 49ers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected to have a big game with 270 passing yards, while the 49ers' Brock Purdy is expected to throw for a whopping 341 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Jared Goff (DET) 270 yds
Brock Purdy (SF) 341 yds

Lions Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
David Montgomery 54 yds
Jahmyr Gibbs 45 yds
Craig Reynolds 7 yds

49ers Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Christian McCaffrey 111 yds
Deebo Samuel 12 yds
Brock Purdy 11 yds

Lions Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown 96 yds
Sam LaPorta 53 yds
Jameson Williams 31 yds
Josh Reynolds 27 yds
Jahmyr Gibbs 17 yds

49ers Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Brandon Aiyuk 81 yds
George Kittle 68 yds
Deebo Samuel 61 yds
Christian McCaffrey 46 yds
Jauan Jennings 27 yds

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting insights before the Lions vs. 49ers on Sunday January 28, 2024.

Lions vs. 49ers Game Information

Sunday's matchup between the 49ers and Lions at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:30PM ET.

 

Our full betting coverage of Lions vs. 49ers includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Lions vs. 49ers

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? We've listed the best available sign-up offers for every legal betting state, including Bet365, where you get $150 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Detroit vs. San Francisco.

Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on this week's Lions vs. 49ers matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Lions vs. 49ers predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the most recent NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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