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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]
![Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]](https://imgix.cosmicjs.com/ad5dfaf0-a686-11ee-aa4c-49034c903d7e-406645c85414d1f65d1622bd668b4e1e.jpg?w=750)
The Minnesota Vikings will face the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 16 action at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for this week's Lions vs. Vikings matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Lions vs. Vikings Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used trusted machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Lions and Vikings 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 62% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Lions winning 25-22.
According to our model, the Lions (-3) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point Over/Under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
This Detroit vs. Minnesota betting preview is presented by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.
Lions vs. Vikings Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lions | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (+100) | +3 (-130) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +125 |
| Total | o47.5 (-110) | u47.5 (-104) |
- The Vikings are listed as +3 underdogs versus the Lions, with -130 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the favored Lions (-3) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at +100.
- BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Vikings at +125. That means you can bet $100 to profit $125, earning a total payout of $225, if they win.
- Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at -142, where you can risk $142 to win $100 for a total payout of $242 if they come out on top.
- The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -104.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Lions vs. Vikings Picks
By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to make on this game:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions -3 | +100 🔥 |
| Moneyline | Lions | -142 |
| Total | Under 47.5 | -104 |
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Dimers' best free picks today across any sport.
Our NFL best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.
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Lions vs. Vikings TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Lions vs. Vikings?
According to our model, Detroit's David Montgomery is most likely to score the first TD in Lions vs. Vikings.
Our projections give Montgomery an 11.4% chance of scoring the first TD at U.S. Bank Stadium, while the Lions RB is a 47.7% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Detroit Lions
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 11.4% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 11.4% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 7.9% |
| Sam LaPorta | 7.1% |
| Jameson Williams | 4.4% |
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ty Chandler | 10.0% |
| Justin Jefferson | 9.7% |
| T.J. Hockenson | 7.9% |
| Jordan Addison | 7.5% |
| Alexander Mattison | 5.4% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Detroit Lions
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 48.3% |
| David Montgomery | 47.7% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 36.2% |
| Sam LaPorta | 33.1% |
| Jameson Williams | 22.0% |
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ty Chandler | 44.7% |
| Justin Jefferson | 41.6% |
| T.J. Hockenson | 37.5% |
| Jordan Addison | 34.8% |
| Alexander Mattison | 25.9% |
Lions vs Vikings Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Lions and Vikings, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Lions vs. Vikings Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected to have a big game with 287 passing yards. The Vikings' Nick Mullens is expected to throw for a whopping 268 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jared Goff (DET) | 287 yds |
| Nick Mullens (MIN) | 268 yds |
Lions Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 58 yds |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 44 yds |
| Jared Goff | 7 yds |
Vikings Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Ty Chandler | 63 yds |
| Alexander Mattison | 30 yds |
| Nick Mullens | 6 yds |
Lions Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 77 yds |
| Sam LaPorta | 49 yds |
| Josh Reynolds | 30 yds |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 26 yds |
| Kalif Raymond | 23 yds |
Vikings Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 96 yds |
| Jordan Addison | 54 yds |
| T.J. Hockenson | 52 yds |
| K.J. Osborn | 21 yds |
| Ty Chandler | 18 yds |
Remember, our model updates often, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of the Lions vs. Vikings on Sunday December 24, 2023.
Lions vs. Vikings Game Information
The NFL Week 16 action between the Vikings and Lions at U.S. Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings
- Date: Sunday December 24, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Our full coverage of Lions vs. Vikings includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.
How to Bet on Lions vs. Vikings
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Lions vs. Vikings Week 14 matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Lions vs. Vikings predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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