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Lions vs. Colts Prediction: Detroit Predicted to Win in NFL Week 12 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Detroit Lions vs Indianapolis Colts matchup.
The Indianapolis Colts and Detroit Lions will meet in Week 12 of the NFL season at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Detroit-Indianapolis game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Lions with a win probability of 73%, while the Colts have 27%."
This updated Lions vs. Colts betting preview builds on my early Lions vs. Colts prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lions vs. Colts predictions page.
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Lions vs. Colts Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 12 matchup between the Colts and Lions at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts
- Date: Sunday, November 24, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Colts and Lions gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Lions vs. Colts matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Detroit vs. Indianapolis picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Lions vs. Colts Predictions
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Lions and Colts 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lions a 73% chance of beating the Colts in Week 12 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 28-21.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Lions and Colts each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 50.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
In addition to our Lions vs. Colts predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Lions vs. Colts Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lions | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7 (-110) | +7 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -360 | +310 |
| Total | o50.5 (-105) | u50.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lions vs. Colts Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Lions vs. Colts matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Lions vs. Colts TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Lions vs. Colts?
According to our model, Detroit's David Montgomery is most likely to score the first touchdown in Lions vs. Colts.
Our projections give Montgomery a 15.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Lions RB is a 62.2% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Detroit Lions
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 15.4% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 12.0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 9.9% |
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 11.0% |
| Anthony Richardson | 8.8% |
| Josh Downs | 5.7% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Detroit Lions
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 62.2% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 53.1% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 44.6% |
Indianapolis Colts
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 49.9% |
| Anthony Richardson | 41.1% |
| Josh Downs | 28.8% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 12 touchdown scorer predictions
Lions vs Colts Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Lions and Colts. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Lions-Colts page now to access every player prop projection.
Lions vs. Colts Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected to throw for more yards than the Colts' Anthony Richardson.
Lions Rushing
Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery and Jared Goff are projected to be the leading rushers for the Lions.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB |
| David Montgomery | RB |
| Jared Goff | QB |
Colts Rushing
Jonathan Taylor, Anthony Richardson and Trey Sermon are expected to lead the Colts in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | RB |
| Anthony Richardson | QB |
| Trey Sermon | RB |
Lions Receiving
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs and Tim Patrick are projected to top the receiving yards for the Lions.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR |
| Jameson Williams | WR |
| Sam LaPorta | TE |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB |
| Tim Patrick | WR |
Colts Receiving
Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell and Jonathan Taylor are projected to lead the Colts in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | WR |
| Josh Downs | WR |
| Alec Pierce | WR |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Colts on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lions vs. Colts insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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