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Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]
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The Dallas Cowboys will square off with the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 17 action at AT&T Stadium on Saturday, starting at 8:15PM ET.
Dimers.com's full betting preview for Saturday's Lions vs. Cowboys matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Lions vs. Cowboys Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used trusted machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Saturday's NFL matchup between the Lions and Cowboys 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL picks.
Our famous predictive analytics model currently gives the Cowboys a 64% chance of beating the Lions in Week 17 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Cowboys winning 28-23.
According to our model, the Lions (+5.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 52.5 points has a 51% chance of going under.
Today's Detroit vs. Dallas betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.
Lions vs. Cowboys Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lions | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-108) | -5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +200 | -230 |
| Total | o52.5 (-110) | u52.5 (-110) |
- The Cowboys are -5.5 favorites versus the Lions, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Lions (+5.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -108.
- FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Cowboys at -230. That means you can risk $230 to win $100 for a total payout of $330 if they get the W.
- Elsewhere, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at +200, where you can bet $100 to profit $200, earning a total payout of $300 if they win.
- The Over/Under is set at 52.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, make sure you check all of the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Lions vs. Cowboys Picks
By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions +5.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Lions | +200 |
| Total | Under 52.5 | -110 |
While the Cowboys are more likely to win the game, betting on the Lions moneyline is the best option due to the 2.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Our NFL best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays every week of the season.
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Lions vs. Cowboys TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs. Cowboys?
According to our model, Dallas' Tony Pollard is most likely to score the first TD in Lions vs. Cowboys.
Our projections give Pollard a 14.4% chance of getting in for six first at AT&T Stadium, while the Cowboys RB is a 59.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Detroit Lions
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 9.7% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 9.4% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 7.0% |
| Sam LaPorta | 6.4% |
| Jameson Williams | 4.2% |
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | 14.4% |
| CeeDee Lamb | 13.8% |
| Jake Ferguson | 8.3% |
| Brandin Cooks | 5.8% |
| Dak Prescott | 4.8% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Detroit Lions
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 46.9% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 46.6% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 35.8% |
| Sam LaPorta | 31.9% |
| Jameson Williams | 22.2% |
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 60.4% |
| Tony Pollard | 59.9% |
| Jake Ferguson | 41.8% |
| Brandin Cooks | 29.9% |
| Dak Prescott | 25.5% |
Lions vs Cowboys Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Lions and Cowboys, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Lions vs. Cowboys Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 255 passing yards, while the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for a whopping 269 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jared Goff (DET) | 255 yds |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 269 yds |
Lions Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 71 yds |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 49 yds |
| Jared Goff | 7 yds |
Cowboys Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | 60 yds |
| Dak Prescott | 13 yds |
| CeeDee Lamb | 7 yds |
Lions Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 72 yds |
| Sam LaPorta | 49 yds |
| Josh Reynolds | 29 yds |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 28 yds |
| Kalif Raymond | 23 yds |
Cowboys Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 85 yds |
| Brandin Cooks | 49 yds |
| Jake Ferguson | 42 yds |
| Tony Pollard | 26 yds |
| Michael Gallup | 18 yds |
Remember, our model updates often, so check this page for the latest betting insights before the Lions vs. Cowboys on Saturday December 30, 2023.
Lions vs. Cowboys Game Information
The NFL Week 17 game between the Cowboys and Lions at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys
- Date: Saturday December 30, 2023
- Time: 8:15PM ET / 5:15PM PT
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
Our full coverage of Lions vs. Cowboys includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.
How to Bet on Lions vs. Cowboys
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Lions vs. Cowboys Week 14 game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Lions vs. Cowboys picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.
More on NFL
Stay updated with the latest NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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