Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Sunday's NBA Matchup [3/23/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets matchup.

Denver Nuggets-Houston Rockets Predictions and Game Preview.
Toyota Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets this Sunday.

The Houston Rockets will face the Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Toyota Center on Sunday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Denver-Houston game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Rockets with a win probability of 71%, while the Nuggets have 29%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, while the Nuggets will rely on Jamal Murray, Michael Porter and Aaron Gordon.

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Nuggets vs. Rockets predictions page.

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Nuggets vs. Nuggets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Nuggets and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Rockets a 71% chance of defeating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 114-108.

According to our model, the Nuggets (+7.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 223-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:09PM, Mar 23
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Nuggets
Nuggets +7.5
54%
46%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Rockets
Nuggets DEN
Nuggets +7.5
54%
46%
See Matchup
Rockets HOU
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Nuggets vs. Rockets Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Nuggets Rockets
Spread +7.5 (-105) -7.5 (-110)
Moneyline +260 -300
Total o223 (-106) u223 (-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Nuggets vs. Rockets Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Nuggets vs. Rockets matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Player Props

NBA player props are a great way to wager on the Denver vs. Houston game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.

Jamal Murray is expected to lead the Nuggets in scoring, while Jalen Green is projected to be the top scorer for the Rockets.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Nuggets vs. Rockets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Rockets and Nuggets at Toyota Center is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Nuggets vs. Rockets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Denver vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Rockets, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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