Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction: Denver Predicted to Win Sunday's NBA Matchup [1/12/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks matchup.

Denver Nuggets-Dallas Mavericks Predictions and Game Preview.
American Airlines Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks this Sunday.

The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets will meet in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 3:00PM ET.

The Mavericks, powered by Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington and Jaden Hardy, are set to take on the Nuggets, whose lineup includes Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Denver-Dallas game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Nuggets with a win probability of 69%, while the Mavericks have 31%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Nuggets vs. Mavericks predictions page.

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Nuggets vs. Mavs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's action between the Mavericks and Nuggets at American Airlines Center is scheduled to begin at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Nuggets vs. Mavericks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Denver vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA game between the Nuggets and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Nuggets a 69% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 119-113.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Nuggets and Mavericks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 232.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:06PM, Jan 12
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Nuggets
Nuggets -6.0
50%
50%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Mavericks
Nuggets DEN
Nuggets -6.0
50%
50%
See Matchup
Mavericks DAL
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Nuggets Mavericks
Spread -5.5 (-108) +5.5 (-108)
Moneyline -225 +190
Total o232.5 (-108) u232.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Nuggets vs. Mavericks matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Player Props

Betting on Denver vs. Dallas NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets in scoring, while Klay Thompson is projected to be the top scorer for the Mavericks.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest NBA news, NBA best bets and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds provide the most accurate projections for the NBA title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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