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Broncos vs. Chargers Prediction: Chargers Predicted to Win TNF Week 16 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers matchup.
The Los Angeles Chargers will square off with the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 16 action at SoFi Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 8:15PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chargers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Denver-LA Chargers game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Chargers with a win probability of 59% and the Broncos with 41%."
This updated Broncos vs. Chargers betting preview builds on my early Broncos vs. Chargers prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Broncos vs. Chargers predictions page.
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Broncos vs. Chargers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 16 game between the Chargers and Broncos at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.
- Who: Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Thursday, December 19, 2024
- Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Chargers and Broncos gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Broncos vs. Chargers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Denver vs. LA Chargers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Broncos vs. Chargers Predictions
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Broncos and Chargers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Chargers a 59% chance of defeating the Broncos in Week 16 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 21-19.
According to our model, the Broncos (+3) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Along with our Broncos vs. Chargers predictions, we've also prepared the following for this week's action:
Broncos vs. Chargers Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Broncos | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3 (-118) | -3 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -150 |
| Total | o41.5 (-110) | u41.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Broncos vs. Chargers Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Broncos vs. Chargers matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Broncos vs. Chargers TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Broncos vs. Chargers?
According to our model, Denver's Courtland Sutton is most likely to score the first TD in Broncos vs. Chargers.
Our projections give Sutton an 11.3% chance of getting in for six first at SoFi Stadium, while the Broncos WR is a 44.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Denver Broncos
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 11.3% |
| Javonte Williams | 7.4% |
| Devaughn Vele | 5.7% |
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | 8.7% |
| Gus Edwards | 8.0% |
| Quentin Johnston | 7.1% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Denver Broncos
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 44.1% |
| Javonte Williams | 31.9% |
| Audric Estime | 24.3% |
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | 35.4% |
| Gus Edwards | 32.2% |
| Quentin Johnston | 28.8% |
Broncos vs Chargers Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Broncos and Chargers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Broncos-Chargers page now to access every player prop projection.
Broncos vs. Chargers Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Chargers' Justin Herbert.
Broncos Rushing
Javonte Williams, Audric Estime and Bo Nix are projected to be the leading rushers for the Broncos.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | RB |
| Audric Estime | RB |
| Bo Nix | QB |
Chargers Rushing
Gus Edwards, Kimani Vidal and Justin Herbert are expected to lead the Chargers in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Gus Edwards | RB |
| Kimani Vidal | RB |
| Justin Herbert | QB |
Broncos Receiving
Courtland Sutton, Devaughn Vele, Marvin Mims, Troy Franklin and Lil'Jordan Humphrey are projected to top the receiving yards for the Broncos.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | WR |
| Devaughn Vele | WR |
| Marvin Mims | WR |
| Troy Franklin | WR |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR |
Chargers Receiving
Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, Joshua Palmer, Stone Smartt and Hayden Hurst are projected to lead the Chargers in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | WR |
| Quentin Johnston | WR |
| Joshua Palmer | WR |
| Stone Smartt | TE |
| Hayden Hurst | TE |
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Conclusion
We predict the Chargers, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Week 16 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Broncos vs. Chargers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the latest predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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