Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win in NFL Week 10 [2024]

NFL Week 10 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Denver Broncos square off with the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Chiefs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Broncos-Chiefs game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chiefs with a win probability of 76%, while the Broncos have 24%."

This updated Broncos vs. Chiefs betting preview is a follow-up on our early Broncos vs. Chiefs prediction that was published at the start of the week.

For more detail on today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, check out our interactive Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions page.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 10 matchup between the Chiefs and Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Chiefs and Broncos gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Broncos vs. Chiefs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Denver vs. Kansas City picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Broncos and Chiefs 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Chiefs a 76% chance of beating the Broncos in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 24-17.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Broncos and Chiefs each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Along with our Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 10
• NFL Player Props for Week 10
• Touchdown Predictions for Week 10

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Broncos	Chiefs
Spread	+7.5 (-115)	-7.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+300	-350
Total	o42.5 (-105)	u42.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Broncos vs. Chiefs matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Broncos vs. Chiefs TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Broncos vs. Chiefs?

According to our model, Kansas City's Kareem Hunt is most likely to score the first TD in Broncos vs. Chiefs.

Our projections give Hunt a 15.6% chance of getting in for six first at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB is a 57.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Denver Broncos

Player	First TD Probability
Courtland Sutton	7.5%
Javonte Williams	6.7%
Bo Nix	5.2%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	First TD Probability
Kareem Hunt	15.6%
Travis Kelce	9.6%
DeAndre Hopkins	8.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Denver Broncos

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Courtland Sutton	32.3%
Javonte Williams	29.5%
Bo Nix	23.4%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Kareem Hunt	57.4%
Travis Kelce	39.6%
DeAndre Hopkins	34.1%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 10 touchdown scorer predictions

Broncos vs Chiefs Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Broncos and Chiefs. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Broncos-Chiefs page now to access every player prop projection.

Broncos vs. Chiefs Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes.

Broncos Rushing

Javonte Williams, Jaleel McLaughlin and Bo Nix are projected to be the leading rushers for the Broncos.

Player	Position
Javonte Williams	RB
Jaleel McLaughlin	RB
Bo Nix	QB

Chiefs Rushing

Kareem Hunt, Patrick Mahomes and Carson Steele are expected to lead the Chiefs in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Kareem Hunt	RB
Patrick Mahomes	QB
Carson Steele	RB

Broncos Receiving

Courtland Sutton, Troy Franklin, Lil'Jordan Humphrey, Devaughn Vele and Lucas Krull are projected to top the receiving yards for the Broncos.

Player	Position
Courtland Sutton	WR
Troy Franklin	WR
Lil'Jordan Humphrey	WR
Devaughn Vele	WR
Lucas Krull	TE

Chiefs Receiving

Travis Kelce, DeAndre Hopkins, Xavier Worthy, Noah Gray and Mecole Hardman are projected to lead the Chiefs in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Travis Kelce	TE
DeAndre Hopkins	WR
Xavier Worthy	WR
Noah Gray	TE
Mecole Hardman	WR

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits.

FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 10 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet wins, plus score three months of NBA League Pass regardless of the bet result!

Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Week 10 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Broncos vs. Chiefs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.