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Stars vs. Lightning Prediction: Dallas Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [11/23/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Dallas Stars are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Stars as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Dallas-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Stars are more likely to win, while the Lightning have a lower chance of victory."
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Stars vs. Lightning predictions page.
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Saturday's matchup between the Lightning and Stars at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Stars vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Saturday, November 23, 2024
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Stars vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Dallas vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Stars vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Stars and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Stars a 51% chance of beating the Lightning.
According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.
Stars vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Stars | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+205) | +1.5 (-250) |
| Moneyline | -115 | +102 |
| Total | o6.5 (+110) | u6.5 (-134) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stars vs. Lightning Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Stars vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Stars-Lightning Pick Get Dimers Pro Stars vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Stars vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Stars vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Point an 8.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 42.2% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 5.6% |
| Roope Hintz | 5.5% |
| Jason Robertson | 5.5% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 8.6% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.9% |
| Jake Guentzel | 7.5% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 30.8% |
| Roope Hintz | 29.4% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 27.8% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 42.2% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 37.2% |
| Jake Guentzel | 35.4% |
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Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stars vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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