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Dallas Stars vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction and Odds - December 4, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Dallas Stars vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction and Odds - December 4, 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Dallas Stars are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Monday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' comprehensive betting preview for Monday's Stars vs. Lightning matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and best bets.

Who Will Win: Stars vs. Lightning

Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Monday's Stars-Lightning NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Stars a 51% chance of beating the Lightning.

More: Get the latest NHL predictions tonight

Stars vs. Lightning Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Stars Lightning
Puck Line -1.5 (+210) +1.5 (-245)
Moneyline -115 +100
Total o6.5 (+100) u6.5 (-115)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

To make the most of today's Dallas vs. Tampa Bay betting analysis, check out the best sportsbook promos currently available in your state.

The Lightning are listed as +1.5 underdogs versus the Stars, with -245 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Stars (-1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +210.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +100. That means you can risk $100 to win $100, for a total payout of $200, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Stars at -115, where you can risk $115 to win $100, for a total payout of $215, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +100, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -115.

According to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of going Under.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Best Bets: Stars vs. Lightning

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best bets for this game:

 

Dimers' NHL best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays every time.

While the Stars are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Lightning moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Stars vs. Lightning Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information on Stars vs. Lightning.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Monday's Stars vs. Lightning, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Stars vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Lightning? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Stars and Lightning this Monday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Monday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Stars vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Point a 7.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 36.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Dallas Stars

Player First Goal Probability
Roope Hintz 6.3%
Jason Robertson 5.9%
Wyatt Johnston 5.6%
Joe Pavelski 4.5%
Matt Duchene 4.4%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 7.6%
Nikita Kucherov 7.5%
Steven Stamkos 6.4%
Brandon Hagel 5.7%
Nick Paul 4.1%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Dallas Stars

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Roope Hintz 33.5%
Jason Robertson 33.5%
Wyatt Johnston 28.7%
Joe Pavelski 25.4%
Matt Duchene 23.3%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 36.3%
Nikita Kucherov 34.4%
Steven Stamkos 33.7%
Brandon Hagel 29.1%
Nick Paul 21.8%
Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights before Stars vs. Lightning on Monday December 4, 2023.

 

Stars vs. Lightning Preview

Monday's matchup between the Lightning and Stars at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

How to Bet on Stars vs. Lightning

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL? Check out the best sports betting sign-up offers in your state.

Conclusion

This extensive betting preview highlights our Stars vs. Lightning prediction and NHL odds.

Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Stars vs. Lightning picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date on the fresh NHL news and our analytics-driven NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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