Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction: Sacramento Predicted to Win Wednesday's NBA Play-In Game [4/16/2025]

The Sacramento Kings will face the Dallas Mavericks in the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday, beginning at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Kings as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Dallas-Sacramento game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Kings' chance of winning at 70%, with the Mavericks at 30%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature players like Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis, while the Mavericks will be led by Anthony Davis, P.J. Washington and Naji Marshall.

For further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mavericks vs. Kings predictions page.

Mavericks vs. Mavericks Prediction: Who Will Win NBA Play-In Game?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Kings a 70% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Kings winning 110-104.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 214.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Mavericks vs. Kings Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mavericks	Kings
Spread	+5.5 (-105)	-5.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+190	-230
Total	o214.5 (-105)	u214.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

Mavericks vs. Kings Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mavericks vs. Kings matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mavericks vs. Kings Player Props

NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Mavericks vs. Kings matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.

Anthony Davis is expected to lead the Mavericks with 26 points, 11 rebounds and 5 assists, while Zach LaVine is projected to have 25 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for the Kings.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Mavs vs. Kings Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's action between the Kings and Mavericks at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings
• Date: Wednesday, April 16, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Golden 1 Center

The NBA Play-In Tournament features the teams that ranked 7th through 10th in each conference, including the Mavericks and Kings, competing for a spot in the 2025 NBA Playoffs.

The winner of the Dallas vs. Sacramento matchup will advance to face the Thunder in the first round of the NBA Playoffs.

Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Mavericks vs. Kings matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Dallas vs. Sacramento picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Kings, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Keep up with the latest NBA betting news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the NBA title.