Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction: Golden State to Win, Stephen Curry Projected for 26 Points in Sunday's NBA Game [2/23/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors matchup.

Dallas Mavericks-Golden State Warriors Predictions and Game Preview.
Chase Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors this Sunday.

NBA action continues on Sunday at 3:30PM ET as the Dallas Mavericks take on the favored Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Dallas-Golden State game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Warriors with a win probability of 75%, while the Mavericks have 25%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody, while the Mavericks will be led by Kyrie Irving, P.J. Washington and Klay Thompson.

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions page.

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Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Warriors a 75% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 118-110.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+9) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

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Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mavericks Warriors
Spread +9 (-106) -9 (-114)
Moneyline +320 -390
Total o228.5 (-112) u228.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mavericks vs. Warriors Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mavericks vs. Warriors matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Player Props

Betting on Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Kyrie Irving is expected to lead the Mavericks with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 26 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Warriors.

Stephen Curry 2025.
Stephen Curry is projected to score 26 points tonight.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Mavs vs. Warriors Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Warriors and Mavericks at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 3:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Mavericks vs. Warriors matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Dallas vs. Golden State picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest NBA betting news, NBA best bets and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the latest projections for the NBA title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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