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Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics: Celtics Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Game 5 [2024 NBA Finals]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
![Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics: Celtics Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Game 5 [2024 NBA Finals]](https://imgix.cosmicjs.com/b7612b90-2ac4-11ef-b5b4-ede70717208a-NBA_2023_238_BOS_DAL.png?w=750)
The Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks are scheduled to meet in Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Conference Finals at TD Garden on Monday, starting at 8:30PM ET.
The Celtics, led by Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Jrue Holiday, will face off against a Mavericks team featuring Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' predictive NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Boston Celtics as the most likely winner of Game 5.
"Our team has used the latest data to simulate the outcome of Monday's Mavericks-Celtics game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"After incorporating all the most recent updates, plus thousands of additional inputs, we predict the Celtics to have a 72% chance of winning, compared to the Mavericks at 28%."
Mavs vs. Celtics Game 5 Updates and Essential Details
Monday's Game 5 between the Celtics and Mavericks in the NBA Conference Finals is scheduled to commence at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics
- Date: Monday, June 17, 2024
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Dimers.com's full preview of Monday's Mavericks vs. Celtics matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Celtics vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Access 159 bets, including a 20% edge Get Dimers Pro The winner of the 2024 NBA Conference Finals will progress to the NBA Finals. Game 5 of the best-of-seven series between the Mavericks and Celtics is at Boston's TD Garden.
Mavericks vs. Celtics Prediction: Who Will Win Game 5?
We have used innovative machine learning and data to simulate the result of Monday's NBA Playoffs game between the Mavericks and Celtics 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NBA picks.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Celtics a 72% chance of beating the Mavericks in Game 5 of the 2024 Conference Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 5 of the 2024 NBA Conference Finals has the Celtics winning 108-102.
According to our model, the Celtics (-6.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 211 points has a 51% chance of going under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:35AM, Jun 18
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Over / Under
Moneyline
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Mavericks vs. Celtics Game 5 Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-105) | -6.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +225 | -260 |
| Total | o211 (-112) | u211 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Celtics Picks for Game 5
Our model's biggest edge in this Mavericks vs. Celtics matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NBA bets in each major market every day of the season.
Unlimited access to our picks is available via Dimers Pro.
Access 90 NBA bets, including a 20% edge Get Dimers Pro Mavericks vs. Celtics Game 5 Player Props
Betting on Mavericks vs. Celtics NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project individual points, assists, rebounds and three-pointers for each team.
Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Mavericks with 34 points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists, while Jayson Tatum is projected to finish with 28 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists for the Celtics.
Mavericks Prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 34 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
| Kyrie Irving | 28 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| P.J. Washington | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Dereck Lively | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
MORE: NBA First Basket Predictions for Monday
Celtics Prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Celtics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 28 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| Jaylen Brown | 26 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Jrue Holiday | 16 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Derrick White | 15 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Al Horford | 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out Monday's NBA prop picks.
Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Video
Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the predictions featured below.
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Celtics insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.
More on NBA
Stay up-to-date with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our NBA championship odds give you the most up-to-date predictions and the best available odds on the NBA title, as well as the Eastern and Western conferences.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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