Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 18 [2024]

The Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys will lock horns in Week 18 of the NFL season at FedExField on Sunday, starting at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for this week's Cowboys vs. Commanders matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used innovative machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Cowboys and Commanders 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cowboys an 82% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 18 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Cowboys winning 28-18.

According to our model, the Commanders (+13) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of going under.

This Dallas vs. Washington betting preview is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Cowboys	Commanders
Spread	-13 (-110)	+13 (-105)
Moneyline	-850	+640
Total	o47.5 (-110)	u47.5 (-108)

• The Commanders are +13 underdogs versus the Cowboys, with -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the favored Cowboys (-13) to cover the spread, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
• FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +640, which means you can throw down $100 to profit $640, earning a total payout of $740, if they win.
• On the other hand, DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Cowboys at -850, where you can risk $850 to win $100 for a total payout of $950 if they come out on top.
• The Over/Under is set at 47.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while DraftKings currently has the best odds for the Under at -108.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check all of the sports betting sites available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Picks

By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks to place on this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Commanders +13	-105 🔥
Moneyline	Commanders	+640 🔥
Total	Under 47.5	-108

Every time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Dimers' best free picks of the day across any sport.

While the Cowboys are more likely to win the game, taking the Commanders moneyline is the best option because of the 4.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Dimers' best NFL bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Cowboys vs. Commanders TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Cowboys vs. Commanders?

According to our model, Dallas' CeeDee Lamb is most likely to score the first TD in Cowboys vs. Commanders.

Our projections give Lamb a 16.0% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the Cowboys WR is a 58.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player	First TD Probability
CeeDee Lamb	16.0%
Tony Pollard	14.1%
Brandin Cooks	9.7%
Jake Ferguson	8.6%
Dak Prescott	5.5%

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Brian Robinson	6.9%
Terry McLaurin	5.3%
Antonio Gibson	5.2%
Curtis Samuel	4.4%
Sam Howell	3.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player	Anytime TD Probability
CeeDee Lamb	58.8%
Tony Pollard	55.8%
Brandin Cooks	40.7%
Jake Ferguson	38.0%
Dak Prescott	26.4%

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Brian Robinson	32.5%
Terry McLaurin	26.1%
Antonio Gibson	25.6%
Curtis Samuel	21.9%
Sam Howell	18.4%

Cowboys vs Commanders Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Cowboys and Commanders, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected to have a big game with 302 passing yards. The Commanders' Sam Howell is expected to throw for 247 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Dak Prescott (DAL)	302 yds
Sam Howell (WAS)	247 yds

Cowboys Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Tony Pollard	61 yds
Rico Dowdle	17 yds
Dak Prescott	14 yds

Commanders Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Brian Robinson	48 yds
Antonio Gibson	15 yds
Sam Howell	15 yds

Cowboys Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
CeeDee Lamb	95 yds
Jake Ferguson	51 yds
Brandin Cooks	50 yds
Tony Pollard	26 yds
Jalen Tolbert	20 yds

Commanders Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Terry McLaurin	64 yds
Curtis Samuel	36 yds
Antonio Gibson	29 yds
Jahan Dotson	27 yds
Logan Thomas	25 yds

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting insights before the Cowboys vs. Commanders on Sunday January 7, 2024.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Game Information

The NFL Week 18 matchup between the Commanders and Cowboys at FedExField is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday January 7, 2024
• Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
• Venue: FedExField

Our full betting coverage of Cowboys vs. Commanders includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Cowboys vs. Commanders

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Cowboys vs. Commanders Week 14 contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Cowboys vs. Commanders picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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