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Cowboys vs. Commanders Prediction: Washington Predicted to Win in NFL Week 12 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders matchup.
The Washington Commanders will face the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 12 action at Northwest Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Commanders as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Dallas-Washington game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Commanders with a win probability of 84%, while the Cowboys have 16%."
This updated Cowboys vs. Commanders betting preview builds on my early Cowboys vs. Commanders prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Cowboys vs. Commanders predictions page.
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Cowboys vs. Commanders Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 12 game between the Commanders and Cowboys at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders
- Date: Sunday, November 24, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Commanders and Cowboys gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Cowboys vs. Commanders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Dallas vs. Washington picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Cowboys vs. Commanders Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Cowboys and Commanders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Commanders an 84% chance of defeating the Cowboys in Week 12 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 27-17.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Cowboys and Commanders each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
In addition to our Cowboys vs. Commanders predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:
Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cowboys | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 (-108) | -10.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +455 | -590 |
| Total | o44.5 (-105) | u44.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cowboys vs. Commanders Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Cowboys vs. Commanders matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Cowboys vs. Commanders TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs. Commanders?
According to our model, Washington's Jayden Daniels is most likely to score the first TD in Cowboys vs. Commanders.
Our projections give Daniels a 12.4% chance of getting in for six first at Northwest Stadium, while the Commanders QB is a 49.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 7.8% |
| Rico Dowdle | 7.8% |
| KaVontae Turpin | 5.7% |
Washington Commanders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 12.4% |
| Brian Robinson | 11.5% |
| Terry McLaurin | 9.7% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 35.3% |
| Rico Dowdle | 35.1% |
| KaVontae Turpin | 26.2% |
Washington Commanders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 49.4% |
| Brian Robinson | 46.7% |
| Terry McLaurin | 40.0% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 12 touchdown scorer predictions
Cowboys vs Commanders Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cowboys and Commanders. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Cowboys-Commanders page now to access every player prop projection.
Cowboys vs. Commanders Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Cooper Rush is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Commanders' Jayden Daniels.
Cowboys Rushing
Rico Dowdle, Ezekiel Elliott and CeeDee Lamb are projected to be the leading rushers for the Cowboys.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle | RB |
| Ezekiel Elliott | RB |
| CeeDee Lamb | WR |
Commanders Rushing
Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Austin Ekeler are expected to lead the Commanders in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | RB |
| Jayden Daniels | QB |
| Austin Ekeler | RB |
Cowboys Receiving
CeeDee Lamb, Luke Schoonmaker, Jalen Tolbert, Rico Dowdle and KaVontae Turpin are projected to top the receiving yards for the Cowboys.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | WR |
| Luke Schoonmaker | TE |
| Jalen Tolbert | WR |
| Rico Dowdle | RB |
| KaVontae Turpin | WR |
Commanders Receiving
Terry McLaurin, Noah Brown, Zach Ertz, Olamide Zaccheaus and Austin Ekeler are projected to lead the Commanders in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | WR |
| Noah Brown | WR |
| Zach Ertz | TE |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR |
| Austin Ekeler | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Commanders, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cowboys vs. Commanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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