Cowboys vs. Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Predicted to Win in NFL Week 9 [2024]

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Written by Mac Douglass
Dallas Cowboys-Atlanta Falcons Predictions and Game Preview.
Mercedes-Benz Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Atlanta Falcons this Sunday.

The Atlanta Falcons will take on the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 9 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Falcons as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Cowboys-Falcons game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Falcons with a win probability of 59%, while the Cowboys have 41%."

Cowboys vs. Falcons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 9 action between the Falcons and Cowboys at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Cowboys vs. Falcons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Dallas vs. Atlanta picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Cowboys vs. Falcons Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Cowboys and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Falcons a 59% chance of beating the Cowboys in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 26-24.

According to our model, the Cowboys (+3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Along with our Cowboys vs. Falcons predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

Cowboys vs. Falcons Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cowboys Falcons
Spread +3.5 (-130) -3.5 (+100)
Moneyline +148 -166
Total o51.5 (-118) u51.5 (-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cowboys vs. Falcons Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Cowboys vs. Falcons matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Cowboys vs. Falcons TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs. Falcons?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs. Falcons.

Our projections give Robinson a 13.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 57.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player First TD Probability
CeeDee Lamb 10.0%
Rico Dowdle 9.1%
Jake Ferguson 6.1%

Atlanta Falcons

Player First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 13.5%
Drake London 10.0%
Darnell Mooney 6.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Dallas Cowboys

Player Anytime TD Probability
CeeDee Lamb 48.0%
Rico Dowdle 42.6%
Jake Ferguson 33.0%

Atlanta Falcons

Player Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson 57.1%
Drake London 47.2%
Darnell Mooney 33.7%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 9 touchdown scorer predictions

Cowboys vs Falcons Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cowboys and Falcons. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Cowboys-Falcons page now to access every player prop projection.

Cowboys vs. Falcons Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Falcons' Kirk Cousins.

Cowboys Rushing

Rico Dowdle, Dak Prescott and Dalvin Cook are projected to be the leading rushers for the Cowboys.

Player Position
Rico Dowdle RB
Dak Prescott QB
Dalvin Cook RB

Falcons Rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are expected to lead the Falcons in rushing yards.

Player Position
Bijan Robinson RB
Tyler Allgeier RB
Kirk Cousins QB

Cowboys Receiving

CeeDee Lamb, Jake Ferguson, Jalen Tolbert, Rico Dowdle and Jalen Brooks are projected to top the receiving yards for the Cowboys.

Player Position
CeeDee Lamb WR
Jake Ferguson TE
Jalen Tolbert WR
Rico Dowdle RB
Jalen Brooks WR

Falcons Receiving

Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Ray-Ray McCloud and Bijan Robinson are projected to lead the Falcons in receiving yards.

Player Position
Drake London WR
Darnell Mooney WR
Kyle Pitts TE
Ray-Ray McCloud WR
Bijan Robinson RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Falcons, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cowboys vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and broad sports knowledge to Dimers, specializing in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, plus insights across DFS, online casinos and sweepstakes. Known for finding top new user promos across major sportsbooks and online gaming platforms, Mac enhances the betting experience for both novices and veterans alike.

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