Crucial DeVonta Smith Update Shifts Super Bowl LIX Projections and Betting Odds

Super Bowl LIX is set, with a highly competitive showdown expected between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. But a major roster update is shifting the betting landscape.

Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith has been officially removed from the injury report ahead of Super Bowl LIX, clearing the way for him to be a full participant in Sunday’s matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Eagles' WR2 had been dealing with a hamstring injury, but is now set to have no limitations.

Smith, a New Orleans native, also emphasized the personal significance of playing in front of family members who haven’t had the opportunity to watch him in person.

“This is the biggest game there is,” Smith told reporters on Monday. “My grandfather couldn’t come to Philly. [Now] he gets a chance to...come to his first NFL game and watch me.”

Smith's injury update was quickly proceeded by the release of updated Super Bowl LIX prop odds from Bet365. This prompted our analysts to re-run their Eagles-Chiefs Super Bowl simulations 10,000 times, factoring in Smith’s confirmed availability. 

Here's what the new simulations revealed, including how DeVonta Smith's stat projections compare to his new Super Bowl LIX prop odds.

Updated Super Bowl LIX Simulation Results: Eagles vs. Chiefs

Projected Final Score:

• Chiefs 24, Eagles 22

Updated Spread & Total Trends:

• Chiefs (-1.5) cover 53% of simulations
• Eagles (+1.5) cover 47% of simulations
• Total (49): Under hits 57% of the time

Quarterback and Team Stats Projection

Passing Yards:

• Patrick Mahomes: 258 yards
• Jalen Hurts: 186 yards

Rushing Yards:

• Eagles:
  • Saquon Barkley (124 yards, 57% TD probability)
  • Jalen Hurts (38 yards, 51% TD probability)
• Chiefs:
  • Kareem Hunt (47 yards, 49% TD probability)
  • Isiah Pacheco (21 yards, 22% TD probability)

Receiving Yards:

• Eagles:

  • A.J. Brown (77 yards, 38% TD probability)
  • Dallas Goedert (53 yards, 24% TD probability)
  • DeVonta Smith (51 yards, 26% TD probability)

• Chiefs:

  • Travis Kelce (70 yards, 42% TD probability)
  • Xavier Worthy (60 yards, 39% TD probability)

Chiefs vs. Eagles TD Prop Projections

Anytime Touchdown Probability:

• Eagles:

  • Saquon Barkley (56.9%)
  • Jalen Hurts (50.8%)
  • A.J. Brown (37.8%)
  • DeVonta Smith (26.0%)
  • Dallas Goedert (24.3%)

• Chiefs:

  • Kareem Hunt (48.7%)
  • Travis Kelce (42.2%)
  • Xavier Worthy (38.9%)
  • Hollywood Brown (23.6%)
  • Isiah Pacheco (21.6%)

First Touchdown Probability:

• Eagles:

  • Saquon Barkley (13.6%)
  • Jalen Hurts (11.8%)
  • A.J. Brown (8.0%)
  • DeVonta Smith (5.3%)
  • Dallas Goedert (4.8%)

• Chiefs:

  • Kareem Hunt (11.5%)
  • Travis Kelce (9.4%)
  • Xavier Worthy (8.6%)
  • Hollywood Brown (4.7%)
  • Isiah Pacheco (4.2%)

DeVonta Smith’s Super Bowl LIX Stat Projections

Smith’s expected production in Super Bowl LIX, according to Dimers’ updated simulations:

• Receiving Yards: 51 yards (Projected)
• Touchdown Probability: 26% chance to score

While A.J. Brown (38%) and Saquon Barkley (57%) have higher TD projections for the Eagles, Smith remains a vital target for Jalen Hurts, particularly in crucial third-down and red-zone situations.

Updated Betting Odds and Player Props for DeVonta Smith

Smith’s removal from the injury report has also led Bet365 to update his Super Bowl LIX prop odds:

Receiving Yards:

• 50+ (-120) | 60+ (+140) | 70+ (+210) | 80+ (+320) | 90+ (+400)

Touchdowns:

• Anytime TD (+230)
• 2+ TDs (+2200)
• 3+ TDs (+15000)

With Smith cleared for a full workload, bettors and analysts alike are keeping a close eye on how he factors into the Eagles’ game plan.

Final Super Bowl Prediction & Betting Insights:

Smith’s injury clearance and the latest data-driven projections suggest a tight contest, with the Chiefs slightly favored (58% win probability). However, Philadelphia’s rushing attack led by Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts could be a game-changer if they establish momentum early.

With Smith projected for 51 receiving yards and a 26% chance to score, his performance in front of his hometown crowd could be pivotal for the Eagles’ offense.

Stay tuned for further updates as Super Bowl LIX approaches.