Cowboys vs. Commanders Week 18 Prediction and Odds - Jan 8, 2023

NFL Week 18 action continues on Sunday at 4:25PM ET as the Dallas Cowboys lock horns with the Washington Commanders at FedExField.

Dimers' top betting picks for Cowboys vs. Commanders, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

Who will win Cowboys vs. Commanders?

Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Cowboys-Commanders NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Cowboys a 72% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 18 of the NFL season.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Cowboys vs. Commanders

Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds

• Spread: Commanders +7.5 (-115), Cowboys -7.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Commanders +280, Cowboys -320
• Total: Over/Under 41 (-110/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Commanders are listed as +7.5 underdogs against the Cowboys, with -115 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Cowboys (-7.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +280. That means you can throw down $100 to profit $280, earning a total payout of $380, if they win.

On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Cowboys at -320, where you can risk $320 to win $100, for a total payout of $420, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 41 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (+7.5) are a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 41-point Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 18 Matchup

Best Bets for Cowboys vs. Commanders

• Spread: Commanders +7.5 @ -115 via PointsBet (59% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Commanders @ +280 via PointsBet (1.2% edge)
• Total: Under 41 @ -110 via PointsBet (51% probability)

If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best free picks of the day across any sport.

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Cowboys are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Commanders moneyline is the best option because of the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers.com is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Dallas vs. Washington at FedExField in Week 18 has the Cowboys winning 23-17.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Cowboys-Commanders matchup in Week 18, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live scores.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Cowboys vs. Commanders? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Cowboys and Commanders, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Dallas' Ezekiel Elliott is most likely to score the first TD in Cowboys vs. Commanders.

DimersBOT gives Elliott a 17.5% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the Cowboys RB is a 59.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Dallas Cowboys

• Ezekiel Elliott: 17.5% probability
• CeeDee Lamb: 9.9% probability
• Tony Pollard: 7.8% probability
• Michael Gallup: 6.6% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 5.3% probability

Washington Commanders

• Jonathan Williams: 9.5% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 8.6% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 6.1% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 3.9% probability
• Logan Thomas: 3.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Dallas Cowboys

• Ezekiel Elliott: 59.0% probability
• CeeDee Lamb: 38.8% probability
• Tony Pollard: 30.4% probability
• Michael Gallup: 26.3% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 22.7% probability

Washington Commanders

• Jonathan Williams: 37.3% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 35.8% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 25.0% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 17.1% probability
• Logan Thomas: 15.3% probability

Cowboys-Commanders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected for 239 passing yards, while the Commanders' Sam Howell is expected to throw for just 161 yards.

Cowboys Starting QB

• Dak Prescott: 239 projected yards

Commanders Starting QB

• Sam Howell: 161 projected yards

Cowboys Rushing

• Tony Pollard: 66 projected yards
• Ezekiel Elliott: 57 projected yards
• Malik Davis: 19 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

• Jonathan Williams: 58 projected yards
• Sam Howell: 27 projected yards
• Jaret Patterson: 24 projected yards

Cowboys Receiving

• CeeDee Lamb: 80 projected yards
• Michael Gallup: 50 projected yards
• Dalton Schultz: 44 projected yards
• Tony Pollard: 27 projected yards
• T.Y. Hilton: 21 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

• Terry McLaurin: 61 projected yards
• Jahan Dotson: 41 projected yards
• Curtis Samuel: 28 projected yards
• Logan Thomas: 25 projected yards
• Jonathan Williams: 19 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before Cowboys vs. Commanders on Sunday January 8, 2023.

Cowboys vs. Commanders 2023

The NFL Week 18 game between the Commanders and Cowboys at FedExField is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday January 8, 2023
• Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
• Venue: FedExField

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