Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury: Mercury Predicted to Win According to Model for WNBA Game [7/1/2024]

The Phoenix Mercury will face the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Footprint Center on Monday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

The Mercury, who have stars like Brittney Griner, Kahleah Copper and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Sun, featuring DeWanna Bonner, Brionna Jones and DiJonai Carrington.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Sun as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Sun-Mercury game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Sun are likely to win, with a probability of 67%, compared to the Mercury's 33%."

Sun vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's game between the Mercury and Sun at Footprint Center is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Monday, July 1, 2024
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Footprint Center

Dimers.com's full preview of Monday's Sun vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Sun picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Sun vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's WNBA matchup between the Sun and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA picks coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Sun a 67% chance of beating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Mercury (+5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 157 points has a 60% chance of going over.

Sun vs. Mercury Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sun	Mercury
Spread	-5 (-112)	+5 (-108)
Moneyline	-200	+180
Total	o157 (-108)	u157 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Mercury Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Sun vs. Mercury matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sun vs. Mercury Player Props

WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Connecticut vs. Phoenix game without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We use the best information available to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made.

DeWanna Bonner is expected to lead the Sun with 18 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Brittney Griner is projected to finish with 23 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mercury.

Sun Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
DeWanna Bonner	18	7	3	2
Brionna Jones	15	6	2	0
DiJonai Carrington	15	5	2	1
Alyssa Thomas	15	9	8	0
Tyasha Harris	13	2	4	2

Mercury Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mercury:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Brittney Griner	23	8	3	0
Kahleah Copper	21	5	2	2
Natasha Cloud	13	4	7	1
Sophie Cunningham	10	3	2	2
Sug Sutton	6	2	4	1

For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA trends for today's games.

Conclusion

We predict the Sun, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sun vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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