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Read Article Sun vs. Fever Prediction: Tight Battle Projected in Updated Analysis for WNBA Game [8/28/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
The Indiana Fever will square off with the Connecticut Sun, in what is expected to be a tight WNBA game, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
The Fever, who have star players like Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston, are set to take on the Sun, who feature DeWanna Bonner, Brionna Jones and Alyssa Thomas.
Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 23 points and 3 threes.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Sun as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Sun-Fever game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Sun's chance of winning at 54%, with the Fever at 46%."
Sun vs. Fever Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's action between the Fever and Sun at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Wednesday, August 28, 2024
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Sun vs. Fever matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Fever vs. Sun picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Access 322 bets, including an 18% edge Get Dimers Pro Sun vs. Fever Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Sun and Fever 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Sun a 54% chance of defeating the Fever.
According to our model, the Fever (+4) have a 63% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 165 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:01PM, Aug 28
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Sun vs. Fever Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4 (-110) | +4 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -175 | +156 |
| Total | o165 (-112) | u165 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Fever Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Sun vs. Fever matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best WNBA picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Access all of our WNBA bets Get Dimers Pro Sun vs. Fever Player Props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Sun vs. Fever game without necessarily betting on the outcome.
We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
DeWanna Bonner is expected to lead the Sun with 16 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists, while Caitlin Clark is projected to finish with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 8 assists for the Fever.
Sun Prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Brionna Jones | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Alyssa Thomas | 13 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Marina Mabrey | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| DiJonai Carrington | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Fever Prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark | 23 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Aliyah Boston | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Lexie Hull | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA betting trends for today's games.
Conclusion
We predict the Sun, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Fever on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sun vs. Fever insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on WNBA
Stay informed with the latest WNBA betting news and our data-led WNBA best bets and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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