Commanders vs. Texans Week 11 Prediction and Odds - Nov 20, 2022

The Houston Texans and Washington Commanders are scheduled to meet in Week 11 of the NFL season at NRG Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Commanders vs. Texans, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.

Who will win Commanders vs. Texans?

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Commanders-Texans NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Commanders a 66% chance of beating the Texans in Week 11 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Guide for Commanders vs. Texans

Commanders vs. Texans Current Odds

• Spread: Texans +3 (-105), Commanders -3 (-107)
• Moneyline: Texans +140, Commanders -155
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-104/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Texans are currently +3 underdogs against the Commanders, with -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Commanders (-3) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -107.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +140. That means you can bet $100 to profit $140, earning a total payout of $240, if they win.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at -155, where you can risk $155 to win $100, for a total payout of $255, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -104, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out all the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (-3) are a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point Over/Under is a 52% chance of going Under.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets for Commanders vs. Texans

• Spread: Commanders -3 @ -107 via PointsBet (59% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Commanders @ -155 via BetMGM (66% probability) 🔥
• Total: Under 41.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (52% probability)

When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Dimers' best bets today across any sport.

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

Commanders vs. Texans Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Washington vs. Houston at NRG Stadium in Week 11 has the Commanders winning 22-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Commanders-Texans matchup in Week 11, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live scores.

Commanders vs. Texans Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Texans? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Commanders and Texans, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Houston's Dameon Pierce is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Texans.

DimersBOT gives Pierce an 11.5% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB is a 45.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

• Antonio Gibson: 11.5% probability
• Brian Robinson: 10.8% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 8.5% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 6.4% probability
• Taylor Heinicke: 5.4% probability

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 11.5% probability
• Nico Collins: 6.3% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 6.2% probability
• Chris Moore: 4.3% probability
• O.J. Howard: 2.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

• Antonio Gibson: 42.7% probability
• Brian Robinson: 39.2% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 34.2% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 27.0% probability
• Taylor Heinicke: 23.2% probability

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 45.9% probability
• Nico Collins: 26.9% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 26.3% probability
• Chris Moore: 18.4% probability
• O.J. Howard: 13.3% probability

Commanders-Texans Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Taylor Heinicke is projected for 218 passing yards. The Texans' Davis Mills is expected to throw for a whopping 264 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

• Taylor Heinicke: 218 projected yards

Texans Starting QB

• Davis Mills: 264 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

• Brian Robinson: 54 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 39 projected yards
• Taylor Heinicke: 23 projected yards

Texans Rushing

• Dameon Pierce: 90 projected yards
• Rex Burkhead: 9 projected yards
• Davis Mills: 7 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

• Terry McLaurin: 71 projected yards
• Curtis Samuel: 40 projected yards
• Jahan Dotson: 32 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 26 projected yards
• Logan Thomas: 25 projected yards

Texans Receiving

• Nico Collins: 54 projected yards
• Brandin Cooks: 51 projected yards
• Chris Moore: 31 projected yards
• Jordan Akins: 27 projected yards
• O.J. Howard: 18 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Commanders vs. Texans on Sunday November 20, 2022.

Commanders vs. Texans 2022

The NFL Week 11 action between the Texans and Commanders at NRG Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday November 20, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium

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What other NFL games are on today?

The Commanders and Texans aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for every single NFL matchup via our NFL Predictions section.

Not only do we provide with you quality predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!