Commanders vs. Patriots Prediction, Week 9 Odds, NFL Player Props [2023]

The New England Patriots will face the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 9 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' prediction for Sunday's Commanders vs. Patriots game, as well as the latest odds and our full game preview, are detailed in this article.

Today's Washington vs. New England prediction is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Who Will Win: Commanders vs. Patriots

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Commanders-Patriots NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Patriots a 61% chance of getting the W against the Commanders in Week 9 of the NFL season.

More: Betting Analysis for Commanders vs. Patriots

Commanders vs. Patriots Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Patriots -2.5 (-118), Commanders +2.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Patriots -145, Commanders +130
• Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-106)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

The Patriots are listed as -2.5 favorites versus the Commanders, with -118 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Commanders (+2.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on the market at +100.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at -145, which means you can risk $145 to win $100, for a total payout of $245, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +130, where you can bet $100 to profit $130, earning a total payout of $230, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 40.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -106.

As always, check out all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Patriots (-2.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Over.

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More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets: Commanders vs. Patriots

• Spread: Patriots -2.5 @ -118 via FanDuel Sportsbook (56% probability)
• Moneyline: Patriots @ -145 via PointsBet (61% probability)
• Total: Over 40.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (55% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Commanders vs. Patriots Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Washington vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 9 has the Patriots winning 22-19.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Commanders vs. Patriots game in Week 9, including pregame predictions, the best NFL picks, and live win probabilities.

Commanders vs. Patriots Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Patriots? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Commanders and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, New England's Ezekiel Elliott is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Elliott a 9.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Patriots RB is a 38.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 8.5% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 8.0% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 6.4% probability
• Logan Thomas: 6.3% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 6.0% probability

New England Patriots

• Ezekiel Elliott: 9.6% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.1% probability
• Demario Douglas: 7.7% probability
• Hunter Henry: 7.2% probability
• Jalen Reagor: 5.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 33.7% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 32.3% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 27.7% probability
• Logan Thomas: 27.0% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 25.1% probability

New England Patriots

• Ezekiel Elliott: 38.3% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 36.7% probability
• Demario Douglas: 31.0% probability
• Hunter Henry: 28.4% probability
• Jalen Reagor: 23.9% probability

Commanders-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 243 passing yards. The Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for just 187 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

• Sam Howell: 243 projected yards

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 187 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

• Brian Robinson: 42 projected yards
• Sam Howell: 18 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 15 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 43 projected yards
• Ezekiel Elliott: 32 projected yards
• Mac Jones: 8 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

• Terry McLaurin: 68 projected yards
• Jahan Dotson: 39 projected yards
• Logan Thomas: 37 projected yards
• Jamison Crowder: 37 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 18 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Demario Douglas: 48 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 31 projected yards
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 28 projected yards
• Jalen Reagor: 20 projected yards
• Mike Gesicki: 17 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before Commanders vs. Patriots on Sunday November 5, 2023.

Commanders vs. Patriots Preview

The NFL Week 9 game between the Patriots and Commanders at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday November 5, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

How to Bet on Commanders vs. Patriots

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Conclusion

This comprehensive NFL preview centers around our Commanders vs. Patriots prediction and Week 9 odds.

Dimers' predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Commanders vs. Patriots predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NFL Analysis Like This?

To get more NFL betting previews like you've just read for Commanders vs. Patriots, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NFL Betting News section. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can write the best NFL betting previews available. We're able to do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our NFL picks and predictions.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every single day of the NFL season.