Commanders vs. Falcons Week 6 Prediction and Odds - October 15, 2023

The Atlanta Falcons will square off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 6 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Commanders vs. Falcons, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.

This Washington vs. Atlanta betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Who Will Win: Commanders vs. Falcons

Using advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Commanders-Falcons NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Falcons a 55% chance of getting the W against the Commanders in Week 6 of the NFL season.

More: Commanders vs. Falcons Simulated 10,000 Times

Commanders vs. Falcons Odds

• Spread: Falcons -2 (-110), Commanders +2 (-110)
• Moneyline: Falcons -124, Commanders +110
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110)

The Falcons are -2 favorites versus the Commanders, with -110 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Commanders (+2) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at -124. That means you can risk $124 to win $100, for a total payout of $224, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +110, where you can bet $100 to profit $110, earning a total payout of $210, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out all of the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (+2) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.

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More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 6 Game

Best Bets: Commanders vs. Falcons

• Spread: Commanders +2 @ -110 via PointsBet (52% probability)
• Moneyline: Falcons @ -124 via FanDuel Sportsbook (55% probability)
• Total: Over 41.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (52% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Commanders vs. Falcons Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Washington vs. Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 6 has the Falcons winning 21-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Commanders-Falcons game in Week 6, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Commanders vs. Falcons Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Falcons? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Commanders and Falcons, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Falcons.

DimersBOT gives Robinson a 16.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 58.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 9.1% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 6.9% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 6.8% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 5.7% probability
• Logan Thomas: 5.3% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson: 16.8% probability
• Drake London: 6.4% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 5.6% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 5.4% probability
• Jonnu Smith: 4.5% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

• Brian Robinson: 36.5% probability
• Antonio Gibson: 29.6% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 29.0% probability
• Jahan Dotson: 25.0% probability
• Logan Thomas: 23.5% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson: 58.9% probability
• Drake London: 28.2% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 25.1% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 24.2% probability
• Jonnu Smith: 20.1% probability

Commanders-Falcons Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 248 passing yards. The Falcons' Desmond Ridder is expected to throw for just 189 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

• Sam Howell: 248 projected yards

Falcons Starting QB

• Desmond Ridder: 189 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

• Brian Robinson: 54 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 19 projected yards
• Sam Howell: 18 projected yards

Falcons Rushing

• Bijan Robinson: 73 projected yards
• Tyler Allgeier: 41 projected yards
• Desmond Ridder: 15 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

• Terry McLaurin: 70 projected yards
• Jahan Dotson: 41 projected yards
• Logan Thomas: 34 projected yards
• Curtis Samuel: 34 projected yards
• Antonio Gibson: 23 projected yards

Falcons Receiving

• Drake London: 49 projected yards
• Kyle Pitts: 42 projected yards
• Jonnu Smith: 30 projected yards
• Bijan Robinson: 25 projected yards
• Mack Hollins: 22 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting analysis before Commanders vs. Falcons on Sunday October 15, 2023.

Commanders vs. Falcons 2023

The NFL Week 6 matchup between the Falcons and Commanders at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday October 15, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

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What Other NFL Games Are on Today?

Now you've got the 411 on Commanders vs. Falcons, see the latest predictions for all upcoming NFL games via our NFL picks and predictions, where you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for each and every NFL matchup. Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the top odds available every single day of the NFL season.