Commanders vs. Eagles Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Commanders vs. Eagles Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023

The Philadelphia Eagles will face the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 4 action at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Commanders vs. Eagles, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

This Washington vs. Philadelphia betting preview is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Who Will Win: Commanders vs. Eagles

Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Commanders-Eagles NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Eagles an 82% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Commanders vs. Eagles Simulated 10K Times

Commanders vs. Eagles Odds

  • Spread: Eagles -8.5 (-110), Commanders +8.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Eagles -450, Commanders +360
  • Total: Over/Under 43 (-110/-110)

The Eagles are listed as -8.5 favorites against the Commanders, with -110 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Commanders (+8.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on the market at -105.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Eagles at -450, which means you can risk $450 to win $100, for a total payout of $550, if they get the W.

On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +360, where you can bet $100 to profit $360, earning a total payout of $460, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 43 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Eagles (-8.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 43-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of going Over.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 4 Game

Best Bets: Commanders vs. Eagles

  • Spread: Eagles -8.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (51% probability)
  • Moneyline: Eagles @ -450 via PointsBet (82% probability)
  • Total: Over 43 @ -110 via PointsBet (56% probability)

 

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7.

Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Washington vs. Philadelphia at Lincoln Financial Field in Week 4 has the Eagles winning 26-17.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Commanders-Eagles game in Week 4, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Commanders vs. Eagles Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Eagles? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Commanders and Eagles, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Philadelphia's Jalen Hurts is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Eagles.

DimersBOT gives Hurts a 13.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Lincoln Financial Field, while the Eagles QB is a 50.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

  • Brian Robinson: 9.4% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 5.7% probability
  • Jahan Dotson: 5.6% probability
  • Logan Thomas: 4.2% probability
  • Antonio Gibson: 4.2% probability

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Jalen Hurts: 13.6% probability
  • A.J. Brown: 10.1% probability
  • DeVonta Smith: 8.5% probability
  • Dallas Goedert: 7.2% probability
  • D'Andre Swift: 6.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

  • Brian Robinson: 39.7% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 25.9% probability
  • Jahan Dotson: 25.2% probability
  • Antonio Gibson: 20.4% probability
  • Logan Thomas: 19.6% probability

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Jalen Hurts: 50.9% probability
  • A.J. Brown: 41.6% probability
  • DeVonta Smith: 35.1% probability
  • D'Andre Swift: 30.7% probability
  • Dallas Goedert: 30.4% probability

Commanders-Eagles Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 201 passing yards, while the Eagles' Jalen Hurts is expected to throw for 213 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

  • Sam Howell: 201 projected yards

Eagles Starting QB

  • Jalen Hurts: 213 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

  • Brian Robinson: 55 projected yards
  • Sam Howell: 12 projected yards
  • Antonio Gibson: 12 projected yards

Eagles Rushing

  • D'Andre Swift: 65 projected yards
  • Kenneth Gainwell: 49 projected yards
  • Jalen Hurts: 41 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

  • Terry McLaurin: 63 projected yards
  • Jahan Dotson: 44 projected yards
  • Logan Thomas: 26 projected yards
  • Curtis Samuel: 26 projected yards
  • Antonio Gibson: 18 projected yards

Eagles Receiving

  • A.J. Brown: 78 projected yards
  • DeVonta Smith: 65 projected yards
  • Dallas Goedert: 50 projected yards
  • Olamide Zaccheaus: 19 projected yards
  • D'Andre Swift: 15 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting insights before Commanders vs. Eagles on Sunday October 1, 2023.

 

Commanders vs. Eagles 2023

The NFL Week 4 game between the Eagles and Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? We've listed the best available sign-up offers in every legal betting state, including DraftKings Sportsbook, where you get $200 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Washington vs. Philadelphia.

Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Commanders vs. Eagles picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NFL Predictions Like This?

To get more NFL betting predictions like you've just read for Commanders vs. Eagles, all you've gotta do is visit our NFL Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can write the best NFL betting previews available. We're able to do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our NFL picks and predictions.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every single day of the NFL season.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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