Commanders vs. Cowboys Week 4 Prediction and Odds - Oct 2, 2022

The Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders are scheduled to meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Commanders vs. Cowboys, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

Today's Washington vs. Dallas betting preview is sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which is currently offering an awesome No Sweat First Bet promo up to $1,000 for new customers.

Who will win Commanders vs. Cowboys?

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Commanders-Cowboys NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Cowboys a 62% chance of getting the W against the Commanders in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Guide for Commanders vs. Cowboys

Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds

• Spread: Cowboys -3 (-105), Commanders +3 (-105)
• Moneyline: Cowboys -155, Commanders +140
• Total: Over/Under 41 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Cowboys are -3 favorites versus the Commanders, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Commanders (+3) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Cowboys at -155. That means you can risk $155 to win $100, for a total payout of $255, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +140, where you can bet $100 to profit $140, earning a total payout of $240, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 41 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, make sure you check all of the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookies have got it right and both the Commanders and Cowboys are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 41-point Over/Under is a 54% chance of going Over.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Commanders vs. Cowboys

• Spread: Cowboys -3 @ -105 via PointsBet (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Cowboys @ -155 via DraftKings Sportsbook (62% probability)
• Total: Over 41 @ -107 via PointsBet (54% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Washington vs. Dallas at AT&T Stadium in Week 4 has the Cowboys winning 22-19.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Commanders-Cowboys matchup in Week 4, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Cowboys? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Commanders and Cowboys, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Dallas' Ezekiel Elliott is most likely to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Cowboys.

DimersBOT gives Elliott an 11.7% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Cowboys RB is a 45.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

• Antonio Gibson: 10.1% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 9.0% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 7.4% probability
• Logan Thomas: 5.3% probability
• J.D. McKissic: 4.5% probability

Dallas Cowboys

• Ezekiel Elliott: 11.7% probability
• CeeDee Lamb: 9.9% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 6.6% probability
• Michael Gallup: 5.9% probability
• Noah Brown: 5.7% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

• Antonio Gibson: 39.7% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 35.3% probability
• Curtis Samuel: 30.7% probability
• Logan Thomas: 22.8% probability
• J.D. McKissic: 19.0% probability

Dallas Cowboys

• Ezekiel Elliott: 45.1% probability
• CeeDee Lamb: 38.3% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 27.5% probability
• Michael Gallup: 25.7% probability
• Noah Brown: 25.4% probability

Commanders-Cowboys Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Carson Wentz is projected to have a big game with 262 passing yards. The Cowboys' Cooper Rush is expected to throw for 246 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

• Carson Wentz: 262 projected yards

Cowboys Starting QB

• Cooper Rush: 246 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

• Antonio Gibson: 50 projected yards
• J.D. McKissic: 18 projected yards
• Curtis Samuel: 12 projected yards

Cowboys Rushing

• Ezekiel Elliott: 62 projected yards
• Tony Pollard: 43 projected yards
• Cooper Rush: 9 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

• Terry McLaurin: 70 projected yards
• Curtis Samuel: 51 projected yards
• Jahan Dotson: 43 projected yards
• Logan Thomas: 37 projected yards
• J.D. McKissic: 28 projected yards

Cowboys Receiving

• CeeDee Lamb: 60 projected yards
• Noah Brown: 45 projected yards
• Dalton Schultz: 43 projected yards
• Michael Gallup: 42 projected yards
• Tony Pollard: 26 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this page for the latest betting analysis before Commanders vs. Cowboys on Sunday October 2, 2022.

Commanders vs. Cowboys 2022

The NFL Week 4 action between the Cowboys and Commanders at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys
• Date: Sunday October 2, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: AT&T Stadium

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