Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction, Week 12 Odds, NFL Player Props [2023]

NFL Week 12 action continues on Thursday at 4:30PM ET as the Washington Commanders look to defy the odds against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium.

Dimers' comprehensive betting preview for this week's Commanders vs. Cowboys matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and best bets.

This Washington vs. Dallas prediction is sponsored by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Who Will Win: Commanders vs. Cowboys

Based on cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Commanders-Cowboys NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Cowboys an 86% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 12 of the NFL season.

More: Get the latest NFL predictions

Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Commanders	Cowboys
Spread	+13 (-108)	-13 (-110)
Moneyline	+575	-800
Total	o48 (-105)	u48 (-110)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

The Cowboys are listed as -13 favorites against the Commanders, with -110 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Commanders (+13) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -108.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Cowboys at -800, which means you can risk $800 to win $100, for a total payout of $900, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM also has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +575, where you can bet $100 to profit $575, earning a total payout of $675, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 48 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (+13) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 48-point Over/Under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

As always, check out all of the legal sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Best Bets: Commanders vs. Cowboys

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best bets to place on this game:

• Spread: Commanders +13 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook (52% probability)
• Moneyline: Commanders @ +575 via BetMGM
• Total: Over 48 @ -105 via BetMGM (50% probability)

Our best NFL bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays every time.

While the Cowboys are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Commanders moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Washington vs. Dallas at AT&T Stadium in Week 12 has the Cowboys winning 30-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information on Commanders vs. Cowboys.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Commanders vs. Cowboys in Week 12, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.

Commanders vs. Cowboys TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Commanders vs. Cowboys? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Commanders and Cowboys this Thursday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Dallas' Tony Pollard is most likely to score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Cowboys.

DimersBOT gives Pollard a 15.5% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Cowboys RB is a 59.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Brian Robinson	7.0%
Terry McLaurin	5.7%
Jahan Dotson	5.1%
Antonio Gibson	4.8%
Logan Thomas	3.7%

Dallas Cowboys

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Tony Pollard	15.5%
CeeDee Lamb	13.8%
Brandin Cooks	8.5%
Jake Ferguson	7.7%
Dak Prescott	5.3%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Brian Robinson	34.1%
Terry McLaurin	27.9%
Jahan Dotson	25.2%
Antonio Gibson	24.4%
Logan Thomas	21.5%

Dallas Cowboys

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Tony Pollard	59.9%
CeeDee Lamb	57.0%
Brandin Cooks	37.9%
Jake Ferguson	36.1%
Dak Prescott	25.7%

Commanders-Cowboys Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Commanders and Cowboys, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 255 passing yards. The Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for a whopping 277 yards.

Player	Projected Passing Yards
Sam Howell (WAS)	255 yds
Dak Prescott (DAL)	277 yds

Commanders Rushing

Player	Projected Rushing Yards
Brian Robinson	48 yds
Sam Howell	18 yds
Antonio Gibson	15 yds

Cowboys Rushing

Player	Projected Rushing Yards
Tony Pollard	67 yds
Rico Dowdle	17 yds
Dak Prescott	14 yds

Commanders Receiving

Player	Projected Receiving Yards
Terry McLaurin	67 yds
Jahan Dotson	41 yds
Logan Thomas	34 yds
Curtis Samuel	25 yds
Antonio Gibson	23 yds

Cowboys Receiving

Player	Projected Receiving Yards
CeeDee Lamb	86 yds
Brandin Cooks	46 yds
Jake Ferguson	38 yds
Tony Pollard	29 yds
Michael Gallup	24 yds

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of Commanders vs. Cowboys on Thursday November 23, 2023.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Preview

The NFL Week 12 action between the Cowboys and Commanders at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:30PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys
• Date: Thursday November 23, 2023
• Time: 4:30PM ET / 1:30PM PT
• Venue: AT&T Stadium

How to Bet on Commanders vs. Cowboys

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Conclusion

This comprehensive betting preview centers around our Commanders vs. Cowboys prediction and Week 12 odds.

Our picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Commanders vs. Cowboys predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

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