Commanders vs. Bears Week 6 Prediction and Odds - Oct 13, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Commanders vs. Bears Week 6 Prediction and Odds - Oct 13, 2022

NFL Week 6 action continues on Thursday at 8:15PM ET as the Washington Commanders take on the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.

Dimers' top betting picks for Commanders vs. Bears, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

Today's Washington vs. Chicago betting preview is presented by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has an outstanding No Sweat First Bet promo for new users.

 

Who will win Commanders vs. Bears?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Commanders-Bears NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Commanders a 61% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 6 of the NFL season.

More: Commanders vs. Bears Simulated 10,000 Times

Commanders vs. Bears Odds

  • Spread: Bears +1 (-105), Commanders -1 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Bears +105, Commanders -120
  • Total: Over/Under 38 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Bears are currently +1 underdogs versus the Commanders, with -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Commanders (-1) to cover the spread, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at +105, which means you can bet $100 to profit $105, earning a total payout of $205, if they win.

Meanwhile, PointsBet also has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at -120, where you can risk $120 to win $100, for a total payout of $220, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 38 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (-1) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 38-point Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets for Commanders vs. Bears

  • Spread: Commanders -1 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (52% probability)
  • Moneyline: Commanders @ -120 via PointsBet (61% probability)
  • Total: Over 38 @ -107 via PointsBet (53% probability)

 

Our best bets are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Commanders vs. Bears Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Washington vs. Chicago at Soldier Field in Week 6 has the Commanders winning 20-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Commanders-Bears matchup in Week 6, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Commanders vs. Bears Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Bears? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Commanders and Bears, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Chicago's Justin Fields is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Bears.

DimersBOT gives Fields a 9.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Bears QB is a 36.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

  • Curtis Samuel: 9.5% probability
  • Brian Robinson: 8.8% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 8.3% probability
  • Antonio Gibson: 5.8% probability
  • J.D. McKissic: 5.6% probability

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 9.9% probability
  • David Montgomery: 9.1% probability
  • Darnell Mooney: 7.0% probability
  • Cole Kmet: 5.2% probability
  • Equanimeous St. Brown: 4.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Washington Commanders

  • Curtis Samuel: 34.9% probability
  • Brian Robinson: 31.9% probability
  • Terry McLaurin: 31.2% probability
  • Antonio Gibson: 23.4% probability
  • J.D. McKissic: 21.9% probability

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 36.8% probability
  • David Montgomery: 33.8% probability
  • Darnell Mooney: 28.1% probability
  • Cole Kmet: 21.1% probability
  • Equanimeous St. Brown: 16.7% probability

Commanders-Bears Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Carson Wentz is projected for 239 passing yards. The Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for just 156 yards.

Commanders Starting QB

  • Carson Wentz: 239 projected yards

Bears Starting QB

  • Justin Fields: 156 projected yards

Commanders Rushing

  • Brian Robinson: 51 projected yards
  • Antonio Gibson: 22 projected yards
  • J.D. McKissic: 13 projected yards

Bears Rushing

  • David Montgomery: 48 projected yards
  • Justin Fields: 42 projected yards
  • Khalil Herbert: 31 projected yards

Commanders Receiving

  • Terry McLaurin: 58 projected yards
  • Curtis Samuel: 46 projected yards
  • J.D. McKissic: 34 projected yards
  • John Bates: 22 projected yards
  • Dyami Brown: 20 projected yards

Bears Receiving

  • Darnell Mooney: 53 projected yards
  • Equanimeous St. Brown: 29 projected yards
  • Cole Kmet: 26 projected yards
  • David Montgomery: 21 projected yards
  • Dante Pettis: 15 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so check this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Commanders vs. Bears on Thursday October 13, 2022.

 

Commanders vs. Bears 2022

The NFL Week 6 game between the Bears and Commanders at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

  • Who: Washington Commanders vs. Chicago Bears
  • Date: Thursday October 13, 2022
  • Time: 8:15PM ET / 5:15PM PT
  • Venue: Soldier Field

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Want more NFL predictions like this?

To get more NFL betting predictions like you've just read for Commanders vs. Bears, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NFL Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can publish the best NFL betting previews out there. We're able to do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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