Colts vs. Texans Week 1 Prediction and Odds - Sep 11, 2022

The Houston Texans face the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 1 action at NRG Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Colts vs. Texans, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

This Indianapolis vs. Houston betting analysis is proudly sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $150 offer for new customers.

Who will win Colts vs. Texans?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Colts-Texans NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Colts a 71% chance of getting the W against the Texans in Week 1 of the NFL season.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Colts vs. Texans

Colts vs. Texans Game Odds

• Spread: Texans +7.5 (-114), Colts -7.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Texans +275, Colts -315
• Total: Over/Under 46 (-105/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Texans are currently +7.5 underdogs against the Colts, with -114 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Colts (-7.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -106.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +275, which means you can bet $100 to profit $275, earning a total payout of $375, if they win.

On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Colts at -315, where you can risk $315 to win $100, for a total payout of $415, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 46 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, make sure you check all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Texans (+7.5) are a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 46 points is a 56% chance of going Under.

More: Best Bets for Every NFL Matchup

Best Bets for Colts vs. Texans

• Spread: Texans +7.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook (61% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Texans @ +275 via BetMGM (1.9% edge)
• Total: Under 46 @ -107 via PointsBet (56% probability) 🔥

Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best free picks of the day across any sport.

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Colts are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Texans moneyline is the best option due to the 1.9% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Colts vs. Texans Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Indianapolis vs. Houston at NRG Stadium in Week 1 has the Colts winning 25-19.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Colts-Texans matchup in Week 1, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Colts vs. Texans Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Colts vs. Texans? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Colts and Texans, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is most likely to score the first touchdown in Colts vs. Texans.

DimersBOT gives Taylor a 19.2% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Colts RB is a 66.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Indianapolis Colts

• Jonathan Taylor: 19.2% probability
• Michael Pittman: 9.1% probability
• Nyheim Hines: 6.3% probability
• Parris Campbell: 6.0% probability
• Mo Alie-Cox: 5.5% probability

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 7.0% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 5.5% probability
• Nico Collins: 5.1% probability
• Brevin Jordan: 4.8% probability
• Rex Burkhead: 3.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Indianapolis Colts

• Jonathan Taylor: 66.6% probability
• Michael Pittman: 38.2% probability
• Nyheim Hines: 28.0% probability
• Parris Campbell: 25.9% probability
• Mo Alie-Cox: 25.4% probability

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 32.1% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 25.4% probability
• Nico Collins: 25.2% probability
• Brevin Jordan: 22.4% probability
• Rex Burkhead: 19.2% probability

Colts-Texans Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Matt Ryan is projected to have a big game with 282 passing yards, while the Texans' Davis Mills is expected to throw for 234 yards.

Colts Starting QB

• Matt Ryan: 282 projected yards

Texans Starting QB

• Davis Mills: 234 projected yards

Colts Rushing

• Jonathan Taylor: 99 projected yards
• Nyheim Hines: 20 projected yards
• Matt Ryan: 8 projected yards

Texans Rushing

• Dameon Pierce: 65 projected yards
• Rex Burkhead: 24 projected yards
• Davis Mills: 9 projected yards

Colts Receiving

• Michael Pittman: 65 projected yards
• Parris Campbell: 46 projected yards
• Alec Pierce: 41 projected yards
• Mo Alie-Cox: 32 projected yards
• Nyheim Hines: 26 projected yards

Texans Receiving

• Brandin Cooks: 64 projected yards
• Nico Collins: 53 projected yards
• Brevin Jordan: 37 projected yards
• Rex Burkhead: 24 projected yards
• Chris Conley: 23 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting insights before Colts vs. Texans on Sunday September 11, 2022.

Colts vs. Texans 2022

The NFL Week 1 game between the Texans and Colts at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday September 11, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium

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What NFL games are on today?

The Colts and Texans aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for each and every NFL game in our NFL Bet Hub section.

Not only do we provide with you quality predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!