Colts vs. Patriots Week 9 Prediction and Odds - Nov 6, 2022

The New England Patriots take on the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 9 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Colts vs. Patriots, plus our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

Who will win Colts vs. Patriots?

Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Colts-Patriots NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Patriots a 70% chance of beating the Colts in Week 9 of the NFL season.

More: Colts vs. Patriots Simulated 10K Times

Colts vs. Patriots Week 9 Odds

• Spread: Patriots -4.5 (-110), Colts +4.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Patriots -210, Colts +190
• Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-102/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Patriots are -4.5 favorites against the Colts, with -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Colts (+4.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at -210. That means you can risk $210 to win $100, for a total payout of $310, if they get the W.

On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Colts at +190, where you can put down $100 to profit $190, earning a total payout of $290, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 40.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -102, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check all the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Patriots (-4.5) are a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets for Colts vs. Patriots

• Spread: Patriots -4.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (51% probability)
• Moneyline: Patriots @ -210 via PointsBet (70% probability)
• Total: Under 40.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (51% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling expertise to help you make smarter investments with the legal sportsbooks in America.

Colts vs. Patriots Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Indianapolis vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 9 has the Patriots winning 22-17.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Colts-Patriots matchup in Week 9, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live scores.

Colts vs. Patriots Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Colts vs. Patriots? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Colts and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, New England's Rhamondre Stevenson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Colts vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Stevenson an 11.4% chance of getting in for six first at Gillette Stadium, while the Patriots RB is a 44.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Indianapolis Colts

• Deon Jackson: 7.7% probability
• Sam Ehlinger: 7.2% probability
• Alec Pierce: 5.7% probability
• Parris Campbell: 5.4% probability
• Kylen Granson: 4.8% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 11.4% probability
• Damien Harris: 9.6% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 7.5% probability
• Tyquan Thornton: 6.5% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 5.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Indianapolis Colts

• Deon Jackson: 31.8% probability
• Sam Ehlinger: 30.1% probability
• Alec Pierce: 24.5% probability
• Parris Campbell: 22.0% probability
• Michael Pittman: 20.0% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 44.0% probability
• Damien Harris: 37.1% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 30.4% probability
• Tyquan Thornton: 26.4% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 25.0% probability

Colts-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Sam Ehlinger is projected to have a quiet game with 187 passing yards, while the Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for 216 yards.

Colts Starting QB

• Sam Ehlinger: 187 projected yards

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 216 projected yards

Colts Rushing

• Deon Jackson: 60 projected yards
• Sam Ehlinger: 23 projected yards
• Phillip Lindsay: 19 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 57 projected yards
• Damien Harris: 52 projected yards
• Mac Jones: 11 projected yards

Colts Receiving

• Michael Pittman: 61 projected yards
• Alec Pierce: 45 projected yards
• Parris Campbell: 34 projected yards
• Kylen Granson: 21 projected yards
• Mo Alie-Cox: 18 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Jakobi Meyers: 51 projected yards
• Tyquan Thornton: 41 projected yards
• Kendrick Bourne: 39 projected yards
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 26 projected yards
• Jonnu Smith: 25 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this page for any changes to our betting insights before Colts vs. Patriots on Sunday November 6, 2022.

Colts vs. Patriots 2022

The NFL Week 9 action between the Patriots and Colts at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday November 6, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

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