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Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction: Colorado Predicted to Win Monday's NHL Matchup [4/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Monday's Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars matchup.
The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche will meet in the NHL Playoffs at American Airlines Center on Monday, with puck drop at 9:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Colorado-Dallas game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Avalanche are likely to win, with a probability of 54%, compared to the Stars' 46%."
For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Avalanche vs. Stars predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20HOCKEY Get Dimers Pro Avalanche vs. Avalanche Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL Playoffs game between the Avalanche and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 54% chance of beating the Stars.
According to our model, the Stars (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Avalanche vs. Stars Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+170) | +1.5 (-200) |
| Moneyline | -148 | +125 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Avalanche vs. Stars Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Avalanche vs. Stars matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Avalanche-Stars Pick Get Dimers Pro Avalanche vs. Stars Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Stars?
According to our model, Dallas' Wyatt Johnston is most likely to score the first goal in Avalanche vs. Stars.
Our projections give Johnston a 7.4% chance of scoring the first goal at American Airlines Center, while the Stars star is a 38.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 7.3% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 5.2% |
| Brock Nelson | 5.1% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.4% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 6.2% |
| Roope Hintz | 4.7% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 38.6% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 27.8% |
| Martin Necas | 26.3% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 38.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 33.1% |
| Roope Hintz | 28.0% |
Avs vs. Stars Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Monday's action between the Stars and Avalanche in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 9:30PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Monday, April 21, 2025
- Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is the National Hockey League's annual elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Avalanche and Stars, made the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Avalanche vs. Stars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Colorado vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Stars on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Avalanche vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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