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Read Article Brisbane Lions vs. Collingwood Magpies Prediction: Lions Predicted to Win Thursday's AFL Round 6 Matchup [4/17/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies matchup.
The Brisbane Lions will face the Collingwood Magpies in Australian Football League (AFL) action at The Gabba on Thursday, commencing at 5:30AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Collingwood-Brisbane game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lions with a win probability of 66% and the Magpies with 34%."
For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Magpies vs. Lions predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20AFL Get Dimers Pro Lions vs. Magpies Prediction: Who Will Win Round 6 Game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's AFL matchup between the Magpies and Lions 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lions a 66% chance of defeating the Magpies.
According to our model, the Lions (-10.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 171.5 has a 51% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 9:02AM, Apr 17
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Collingwood vs. Brisbane Odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Magpies | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +150 | -189 |
| Line (Spread) | +10.5 (-115) | -10.5 (-115) |
| Total | o171.5 (-115) | u171.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Lions vs. Magpies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's Australian rules football game between the Lions and Magpies at The Gabba is scheduled to start at 5:30AM ET.
- Who: Collingwood Magpies vs. Brisbane Lions
- Date: Thursday, April 17, 2025
- Time: 5:30AM ET/2:30AM PT
- Venue: The Gabba
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Magpies vs. Lions matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Collingwood vs. Brisbane picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Magpies on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Magpies vs. Lions insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on AFL
Keep up with the latest AFL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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