College Football Underdogs: Upset Picks & Odds for Week 6 CFB Today

The college football season rolls into Week 6 and we're looking at which teams are best positioned for an upset win with our "Dogs of the Day" article. Each week, we'll highlight three underdogs that our model not only likes to cover the spread, but also to win outright at plus money odds. 

RELATED: Our Week 6 College Football Predictions for Every Game

These picks will come straight from our Dimers Pro College Football Best Bets, a part of our subscription service that grants you access to every single bet on our site for every sport, every single day. You'll also get unlimited access to our player projections, Parlay Picker and Trends tools and of course, an invite to the Dimers Pro VIP Discord where we are cashing tickets like crazy, including one user who turned just $10 into over $13,000 this month and where we went 10-1 with our Dimers Platinum college football picks in Week 3.

If you're interested in College Football Futures, read Nick Slade's analysis of the top contenders to win the College Football National Championship.

College Football Underdog Picks and Week 6 Odds

These three underdogs deserve attention on Saturday, with all three in a favorable position to upset their favored opponent.

Starting with the North Carolina Tar Heels and Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the 12PM ET kickoff window, we'll close out with the Nevada Wolfpack in the night slate.

You can take those picks straight to the sportsbook or dive into the data below and see why these three teams are our Dogs of the Day.

Pick 1: North Carolina moneyline vs. Pittsburgh (+116)

Our highest probability pick of today's underdogs, we're looking at the North Carolina Tar Heels to upset the Pittsburgh Panthers when they plat at 12PM ET. UNC hosts undefeated Pittsburgh in this ACC clash with the Tar Heels looking to replicate last season's result when they won 41-24.

As 2.5-point underdogs, our model actually says North Carolina should be the slim favorite with their 50.6% win probability, as opposed to the 46.3% probability implied by the books' odds of +116. With a strong 54% probability to cover the spread, UNC is also a great play to cover the +2.5 at +100.

While a tie is impossible, the average final score of all our simulations is 31-31, further illustrating how close this matchup is according to our model.

🏈 UNC vs. Pittsburgh Full Game Betting Preview

Pick 2: Wake Forest moneyline vs. North Carolina State (+146)

The next best college football underdog bet is on Wake Forest to score a road upset against North Carolina State.

This game features a 1-3 Wake Forest team that's off to a slow start and an NC State team that sits at 3-2, though unable to string together back-to-back wins this year. They won last week, so something's gotta give on Saturday.

Wake Forest are 4.5-point underdogs and could be facing a Wolfpack team without it's starting QB as Grayson McCall remains questionable, potentially opening the door for the lackluster Wake Forest defense to step up.

The Demon Deacons get the nod from DimersBOT with a 45.4% win probability, translating to fair odds of about +120, identifying a 4.8% edge against the books' favorable odds of +146.

You can also play Wake Forest to cover the 4.5-point spread at -112 and a 61% probability as well.

🏈 Wake Forest vs. NC State Full Game Betting Preview

Pick 3: Nevada moneyline vs. San Jose State (+198)

The final dog of the day is our lowest win probability but the longest odds and it comes with the best edge of them all as we look for Nevada to upset San Jose State on the road in their first meeting since 2022.

Both teams come off a bye as Nevada aims for its second straight win after dominating Eastern Washington 49-16 two weeks ago while SJSU is looking to bounce back from a 2OT loss in Week 4.

Nevada draws a 40.8% win probability in this game and with a very strong 57% probability to cover the 6.5-point spread, our model suggests this game will be a much closer contest, with the average margin of victory just 3 points. The books' odds of +198 imply only a 33.5% win probability, identifying a 7.3% edge.

🏈 Nevada vs. San Jose State Full Game Betting Preview

Odds for the Underdog Parlay (+1489)

If you're feeling really adventurous, you can play these three underdogs into a single parlay that clocks in at +1483 odds.

As a regular college football bettor, I personally recommend playing these as straight bets, and then sprinkling a small amount on the parlay. If you put 1 unit on each Moneyline, I wouldn't go higher than .25U on the parlay as it comes with much more risk.

Dimers' Early-Season College Football Success

As mentioned above, it's been a strong start to the college football season for Dimers, especially if you are a Dimers Platinum subscriber. Platinum is going off, with our AI Betting Picks going at 24-7-1 on College Football Bets over the past three weeks.

Plus, we post our Top 5 CFB bets and props each game day in our Dimers pro VIP Discord, as well as our "Dogs of the Day" on Saturdays.

We post recaps each day and track all our results for complete transparency, so you can see for yourself that we're finding plenty of success in the early days of the season.

Don't miss out the rest of the year - join Dimers Pro for less than $1/day and start cashing with us!

Dimers' College Football Betting Resources for the 2024 Season

• College Football Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 6 matchup
• College Football Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• College Football Best Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NCAA Championship Odds: Who will win it all this year?
• CFB Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

Responsible Gambling

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