College Football Best Bets and +611 Parlay For Week 1

Let's go! The first full-packed weekend of College football is here! We hope you have a seat saved on your couch and television(s) ready to go. After a nice start to the season with our parlay cashing at +654 last weekend, there are plenty of college football games for bettors to enjoy in Week 1 as we attack the slate again. 

We break down our model's three best bets and even recommend putting them together in a parlay to maximize the potential winnings. Check back throughout the football season as DimersBOT is always working!

MORE: Colorado vs. TCU Week 1 Betting Predictions

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With that, let’s get into our model's three best bets for Week 1!

MORE: College Football Week 1 Props

1. Central Michigan vs. Michigan State - Friday, September 1 at 7:00PM EDT

PICK: Central Michigan +14.5 (-110)

Let's start off with an in-state battle for the Michigan State Spartans' (-14.5) season-opener against the Central Michigan Chippewas. What should we expect in a matchup of two teams that failed to reach a winning record in 2022? Both teams are dealing with a good bit of roster turnover and this will be their first chance to gel in a real game scenario.

What's great about this spread is we're getting that extra half of a point for a game that our model expects to be a close one given its 54.8% probability. Plus, we're getting two touchdowns with a great price of -110, making this our model's top college football edge of the night. If you take this at PointsBet Sportsbook, new customers will score a jersey of their choice from Fanatics with their first $50 bet here.

MORE: How to Get a $150 Fanatics Voucher from PointsBet

2. Stanford vs. Hawaii - Friday, September 1 at 11:00PM EDT

PICK: Under 55 (-105)

These teams meet for the fourth time in history, though it's been 51 years since they last clashed. Hawaii is coming off a 35-28 loss to Vanderbilt while Stanford (-3) did not play in Week 0. Hawaii played well against a Commodores team that smashed them in 2022, mounting a bit of a comeback before failing to tie it up late in the fourth quarter.

After a 3-9 season in 2022, Stanford will be looking to take some steps forward this season and our model expects them to come out motivated in this one, projecting them to cover the -3 spread by a full extra field goal. If the Rainbow Warriors want to keep this one close, it'll be on the heels of their defense and stopping Emmit Smith IV. With that in mind, we're siding with our model's 59.4% probability of the Under 58.5 total points at the nearly even money price available at PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers will score a jersey of their choice from Fanatics with their first $50 bet here.

MORE: Get the Best Bets from every sport today

3. Bowling Green vs. Liberty - Saturday, September 2 at 12:00PM EDT

PICK: Bowling Green +9.5 (-110)

Yes, we have to wait for Saturday to cash the parlay if we hit the first two legs, but at least our game is early! It should be worth it with the edge we're getting on this bet. We look to the noon kickoff between Bowling Green and Liberty (-9.5) where our model gives the Falcons a 57.8% chance of covering the spread.

Our model also finds an edge in their moneyline odds at +290 with a 31.5% probability, but we're fine taking the safer route of them covering the number. With a new coach in Jamey Chadwell and two QBs fighting for the starting job, it could take some time to find their groove.

Bowling Green is no slouch and made it a point to acquire QB Connor Bazelak to take their team to the next level after making a bowl game in 2022. Look for them to cover and if you like, sprinkle on the moneyline on the side.

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