Guardians vs. Pirates Prediction: Cleveland Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [4/18/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Friday's Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates matchup.

Cleveland Guardians-Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions and Game Preview.
PNC Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and Pittsburgh Pirates this Friday.

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cleveland Guardians will lock horns in MLB action at PNC Park on Friday, starting at 6:40PM ET.

The Pirates will have Carmen Mlodzinski (1-2, 6.23 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Guardians are going with Luis L. Ortiz (1-2, 6.06 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Guardians as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Cleveland-Pittsburgh game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Guardians' chance of winning is 54%, while the Pirates' is 46%."

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Guardians vs. Pirates predictions page.

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Guardians vs. Guardians Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Guardians and Pirates 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Guardians a 54% chance of defeating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:28PM, Apr 18
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Guardians
Win %
54%
46%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Pirates
Guardians CLE
Win %
54%
46%
See Matchup
Pirates PIT
Luis Ortiz 1-2, 6.06 ERA
Carmen Mlodzinski 1-2, 6.23 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Guardians vs. Pirates Odds [4/18/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Guardians Pirates
Run Line -1.5 (+136) +1.5 (-154)
Moneyline -125 +110
Total o8.5 (-128) u8.5 (+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Guardians vs. Pirates Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Guardians vs. Pirates matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Guardians vs. Pirates Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Guardians at PNC Park is scheduled to begin at 6:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Guardians vs. Pirates matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Guardians, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Guardians vs. Pirates insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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