Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction: Cleveland to Win, Donovan Mitchell Projected for Big Game in Game 4 [2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Monday's Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Game 4 matchup.

Cleveland Cavaliers-Miami Heat Predictions and Game Preview.
Kaseya Center sets the stage for Game 4 of the series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat this Monday.

NBA Playoffs action continues on Monday at 7:30PM ET as the favored Cleveland Cavaliers lock horns with the Miami Heat in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Kaseya Center.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of Game 4.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Cleveland-Miami game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Cavaliers are likely to win, with a probability of 77%, compared to the Heat's 23%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature players like Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins, while the Cavaliers will look to Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Ty Jerome.

For expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions page.

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Heat vs. Cavs Prediction: Who Will Win Game 4?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA Playoffs game between the Cavaliers and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Cavaliers a 77% chance of beating the Heat in Game 4 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 110-101.

According to our model, the Cavaliers (-8.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 212.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:35PM, Apr 28
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Cavaliers
Cavaliers -8.5
51%
49%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Heat
Cavaliers CLE
Cavaliers -8.5
51%
49%
See Matchup
Heat MIA
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Cavaliers vs. Heat Game 4 Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cavaliers Heat
Spread -8.5 (-105) +8.5 (-112)
Moneyline -350 +310
Total o212.5 (-105) u212.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Cavaliers vs. Heat Picks and Best Bets for Game 4

Our model's biggest edge in today's Cavaliers vs. Heat matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Game 4 Player Props

Looking for Cleveland vs. Miami NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.

Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers in scoring, while Tyler Herro is projected to be the top scorer for the Heat.

Donovan Mitchell 2025.
Donovan Mitchell is projected to be one of the top scorers in tonight's game.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Cavs vs. Heat Game 4 Updates and Essential Details

Monday's Game 4 between the Heat and Cavaliers in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.

The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.

Sixteen teams, including the Cavaliers and Heat, reached the NBA Playoffs 2025, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Cavaliers vs. Heat matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Cleveland vs. Miami picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Cavaliers, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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