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Browns vs. Commanders Prediction: Washington Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 5 [2024]
The Washington Commanders and Cleveland Browns will meet in Week 5 of the NFL season at Northwest Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Commanders as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Browns-Commanders game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Commanders with a win probability of 63%, while the Browns have 37%."
Browns vs. Commanders Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 action between the Commanders and Browns at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders
- Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Northwest Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Commanders and Browns gear at Fanatics
- Live Stream: Watch this game on FOX via Hulu or FuboTV
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Browns vs. Commanders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Commanders vs. Browns picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.
Browns vs. Commanders Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Browns and Commanders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Commanders a 63% chance of beating the Browns in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 23-20.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Browns and Commanders each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.
In addition to our Browns vs. Commanders predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Browns vs. Commanders Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Browns | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3 (-105) | -3 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +142 | -155 |
| Total | o43.5 (-110) | u43.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Browns vs. Commanders Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Browns vs. Commanders matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Browns vs. Commanders TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Browns vs. Commanders?
According to our model, Washington's Jayden Daniels is most likely to score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Commanders.
Our projections give Daniels an 11.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Commanders QB is a 47.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | 8.9% |
| Deshaun Watson | 7.0% |
| Jerry Jeudy | 6.9% |
Washington Commanders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 11.9% |
| Brian Robinson | 11.5% |
| Terry McLaurin | 9.2% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | 38.1% |
| Deshaun Watson | 31.2% |
| Jerome Ford | 30.8% |
Washington Commanders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 47.4% |
| Brian Robinson | 46.4% |
| Terry McLaurin | 38.6% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 5 touchdown scorer predictions
Browns vs Commanders Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Browns and Commanders. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Browns-Commanders page now to access every player prop projection.
Browns vs. Commanders Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Deshaun Watson is projected to throw for more yards than the Commanders' Jayden Daniels.
Browns Rushing
Jerome Ford, Deshaun Watson and D'Onta Foreman are projected to be the leading rushers for the Browns.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jerome Ford | RB |
| Deshaun Watson | QB |
| D'Onta Foreman | RB |
Commanders Rushing
Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Austin Ekeler are expected to lead the Commanders in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | RB |
| Jayden Daniels | QB |
| Austin Ekeler | RB |
Browns Receiving
Amari Cooper, Jerry Jeudy, David Njoku, Elijah Moore and Jerome Ford are projected to top the receiving yards for the Browns.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | WR |
| Jerry Jeudy | WR |
| David Njoku | TE |
| Elijah Moore | WR |
| Jerome Ford | RB |
Commanders Receiving
Terry McLaurin, Olamide Zaccheaus, Zach Ertz, Luke McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler are projected to lead the Commanders in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | WR |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR |
| Zach Ertz | TE |
| Luke McCaffrey | WR |
| Austin Ekeler | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Commanders, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Browns on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Browns vs. Commanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Stay updated with the latest NFL news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
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