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Browns vs. Saints Prediction: Cleveland Predicted to Win in NFL Week 11 [2024]
The New Orleans Saints will take on the Cleveland Browns, in what is expected to be a tight NFL Week 11 game, at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Browns as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Browns-Saints game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Browns with a win probability of 53%, while the Saints have 47%."
This updated Browns vs. Saints betting preview builds on our early Browns vs. Saints prediction released at the start of the week.
For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Browns vs. Saints predictions page.
Browns vs. Saints Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 action between the Saints and Browns at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints
- Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Saints and Browns gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Browns vs. Saints matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Cleveland vs. New Orleans picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Browns vs. Saints Predictions
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Browns and Saints 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Browns a 53% chance of beating the Saints in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Browns winning 22-21.
According to our model, the Saints (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Along with our Browns vs. Saints predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:
Browns vs. Saints Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Browns | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -116 | +100 |
| Total | o44.5 (-104) | u44.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Browns vs. Saints Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Browns vs. Saints matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Browns vs. Saints TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Saints?
According to our model, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is most likely to score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Saints.
Our projections give Kamara a 16.1% chance of getting in for six first at Caesars Superdome, while the Saints RB is a 59.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 12.7% |
| Cedric Tillman | 8.5% |
| David Njoku | 7.8% |
New Orleans Saints
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 16.1% |
| Taysom Hill | 7.8% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 5.7% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 49.2% |
| Cedric Tillman | 36.2% |
| David Njoku | 33.2% |
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 59.8% |
| Taysom Hill | 33.6% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 25.8% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 11 touchdown scorer predictions
Browns vs Saints Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Browns and Saints. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Browns-Saints page now to access every player prop projection.
Browns vs. Saints Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Jameis Winston is projected to throw for more yards than the Saints' Derek Carr.
Browns Rushing
Nick Chubb, Jerome Ford and Jameis Winston are projected to be the leading rushers for the Browns.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | RB |
| Jerome Ford | RB |
| Jameis Winston | QB |
Saints Rushing
Alvin Kamara, Taysom Hill and Jordan Mims are expected to lead the Saints in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | RB |
| Taysom Hill | TE |
| Jordan Mims | RB |
Browns Receiving
Jerry Jeudy, Cedric Tillman, David Njoku, Elijah Moore and Jerome Ford are projected to top the receiving yards for the Browns.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | WR |
| Cedric Tillman | WR |
| David Njoku | TE |
| Elijah Moore | WR |
| Jerome Ford | RB |
Saints Receiving
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Alvin Kamara, Cedrick Wilson, Juwan Johnson and Mason Tipton are projected to lead the Saints in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR |
| Alvin Kamara | RB |
| Cedrick Wilson | WR |
| Juwan Johnson | TE |
| Mason Tipton | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Browns, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Saints on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Browns vs. Saints insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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