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Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]
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The Houston Texans will face the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 16 action at NRG Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's comprehensive betting preview for this week's Browns vs. Texans matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Browns vs. Texans Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used innovative machine learning and data analysis to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Browns and Texans 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL picks.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Browns a 65% chance of beating the Texans in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Browns winning 21-18.
According to our model, the Browns (-3) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 39.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Today's Cleveland vs. Houston betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.
Browns vs. Texans Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Browns | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-108) | +3 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -158 | +140 |
| Total | o39.5 (-115) | u39.5 (-105) |
- The Texans are +3 underdogs versus the Browns, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the favored Browns (-3) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -108.
- BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +140. That means you can bet $100 to profit $140, earning a total payout of $240, if they win.
- Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Browns at -158, where you can risk $158 to win $100 for a total payout of $258 if they come out on top.
- The Over/Under sits at 39.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, as well as the best odds for the Under at -105.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, check out the sports betting sites you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Browns vs. Texans Picks
By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns -3 | -108 🔥 |
| Moneyline | Browns | -158 🔥 |
| Total | Under 39.5 | -105 |
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 39.5 is our best bet owing to the better odds (-105) that are available from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Our NFL best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays every week of the season.
Browns vs. Texans TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Browns vs. Texans?
According to our model, Houston's Devin Singletary is most likely to score the first TD in Browns vs. Texans.
Our projections give Singletary a 10.4% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB is a 41.2% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | 8.9% |
| David Njoku | 8.7% |
| Jerome Ford | 8.6% |
| Kareem Hunt | 6.9% |
| Elijah Moore | 5.8% |
Houston Texans
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Devin Singletary | 10.4% |
| Nico Collins | 9.4% |
| Noah Brown | 6.4% |
| Dalton Schultz | 6.2% |
| Dameon Pierce | 4.0% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | 34.7% |
| David Njoku | 33.5% |
| Jerome Ford | 32.7% |
| Kareem Hunt | 28.0% |
| Elijah Moore | 24.1% |
Houston Texans
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Devin Singletary | 41.2% |
| Nico Collins | 35.9% |
| Noah Brown | 26.5% |
| Dalton Schultz | 25.5% |
| Dameon Pierce | 16.1% |
Browns vs Texans Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Browns and Texans, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Browns vs. Texans Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Joe Flacco is projected for 241 passing yards. The Texans' Case Keenum is expected to throw for 206 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Joe Flacco (CLE) | 241 yds |
| Case Keenum (HOU) | 206 yds |
Browns Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Jerome Ford | 49 yds |
| Kareem Hunt | 43 yds |
| Pierre Strong | 9 yds |
Texans Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Devin Singletary | 57 yds |
| Dameon Pierce | 22 yds |
| Case Keenum | 8 yds |
Browns Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | 72 yds |
| David Njoku | 51 yds |
| Elijah Moore | 34 yds |
| Cedric Tillman | 33 yds |
| Jerome Ford | 18 yds |
Texans Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 64 yds |
| Noah Brown | 45 yds |
| Dalton Schultz | 37 yds |
| Robert Woods | 21 yds |
| Xavier Hutchinson | 20 yds |
Don't forget, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting insights before the Browns vs. Texans on Sunday December 24, 2023.
Browns vs. Texans Game Information
The NFL Week 16 matchup between the Texans and Browns at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans
- Date: Sunday December 24, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
Our full betting coverage of Browns vs. Texans includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.
How to Bet on Browns vs. Texans
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Browns vs. Texans Week 14 clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
Our predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Browns vs. Texans picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee at no additional cost to you.
More on NFL
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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