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Bengals vs. Steelers Prediction: Cincinnati Predicted to Win in NFL Week 18 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers matchup.
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals will meet in Week 18 of the NFL season at Acrisure Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Bengals as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Cincinnati-Pittsburgh game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Bengals are more likely to win, while the Steelers have a lower chance of victory."
This updated Bengals vs. Steelers betting preview builds on my early Bengals vs. Steelers prediction that I published at the start of the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bengals vs. Steelers predictions page.
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The NFL Week 18 action between the Steelers and Bengals at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Steelers and Bengals gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Bengals vs. Steelers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Bengals vs. Steelers Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NFL matchup between the Bengals and Steelers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Bengals a 57% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 18 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bengals winning 25-23.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Bengals and Steelers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Bengals vs. Steelers Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bengals | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-106) | +2.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -138 | +125 |
| Total | o48.5 (-108) | u48.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bengals vs. Steelers Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Bengals vs. Steelers matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Bengals-Steelers Pick Get Dimers Pro Bengals vs. Steelers TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bengals vs. Steelers?
According to our model, Cincinnati's Ja'Marr Chase is most likely to score the first TD in Bengals vs. Steelers.
Our projections give Chase a 14.7% chance of getting in for six first at Acrisure Stadium, while the Bengals WR is a 57.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 14.7% |
| Tee Higgins | 9.1% |
| Khalil Herbert | 9.0% |
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren | 8.2% |
| George Pickens | 7.6% |
| Najee Harris | 6.9% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 57.5% |
| Tee Higgins | 42.3% |
| Khalil Herbert | 41.8% |
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren | 36.9% |
| George Pickens | 35.1% |
| Najee Harris | 33.3% |
Bengals vs Steelers Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bengals and Steelers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bengals-Steelers page now to access every player prop projection.
Bengals vs. Steelers Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Joe Burrow is projected to throw for more yards than the Steelers' Russell Wilson.
Bengals Rushing
Khalil Herbert, Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bengals.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Khalil Herbert | RB |
| Joe Burrow | QB |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR |
Steelers Rushing
Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren and Russell Wilson are expected to lead the Steelers in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Najee Harris | RB |
| Jaylen Warren | RB |
| Russell Wilson | QB |
Bengals Receiving
Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Mike Gesicki, Andrei Iosivas and Tanner Hudson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bengals.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR |
| Tee Higgins | WR |
| Mike Gesicki | TE |
| Andrei Iosivas | WR |
| Tanner Hudson | TE |
Steelers Receiving
George Pickens, Calvin Austin, Pat Freiermuth, Jaylen Warren and Van Jefferson are projected to lead the Steelers in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| George Pickens | WR |
| Calvin Austin | WR |
| Pat Freiermuth | TE |
| Jaylen Warren | RB |
| Van Jefferson | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Bengals, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers in Week 18 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bengals vs. Steelers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NFL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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