Bengals vs. Chargers Prediction: Chargers Predicted to Win SNF Week 11 [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Cincinnati Bengals-Los Angeles Chargers Predictions and Game Preview.
SoFi Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Chargers this Sunday.

The Los Angeles Chargers will square off with the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 11 action at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 8:20PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Chargers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Bengals-Chargers game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Chargers with a win probability of 53%, while the Bengals have 47%."

This updated Bengals vs. Chargers betting preview builds on our early Bengals vs. Chargers prediction that was published at the start of the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bengals vs. Chargers predictions page.

Bengals vs. Chargers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 11 game between the Chargers and Bengals at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Bengals vs. Chargers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Cincinnati vs. LA Chargers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Bengals vs. Chargers Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bengals and Chargers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Chargers a 53% chance of defeating the Bengals in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted score is Bengals 23-23 Chargers.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Bengals and Chargers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

 

Along with our Bengals vs. Chargers predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:

Bengals vs. Chargers Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Bengals Chargers
Spread +1 (-118) -1 (-102)
Moneyline +105 -110
Total o47.5 (-115) u47.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bengals vs. Chargers Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Bengals vs. Chargers matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bengals vs. Chargers TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bengals vs. Chargers?

According to our model, Cincinnati's Chase Brown is most likely to score the first TD in Bengals vs. Chargers.

Our projections give Brown a 12.1% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Bengals RB is a 50.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player First TD Probability
Chase Brown 12.1%
Ja'Marr Chase 9.7%
Tee Higgins 8.2%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player First TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins 10.9%
Ladd McConkey 7.3%
Gus Edwards 5.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player Anytime TD Probability
Chase Brown 50.5%
Ja'Marr Chase 43.7%
Tee Higgins 37.9%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player Anytime TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins 48.2%
Ladd McConkey 34.5%
Gus Edwards 28.9%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 11 touchdown scorer predictions

Bengals vs Chargers Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bengals and Chargers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bengals-Chargers page now to access every player prop projection.

Bengals vs. Chargers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Joe Burrow is projected to throw for more yards than the Chargers' Justin Herbert.

Bengals Rushing

Chase Brown, Khalil Herbert and Joe Burrow are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bengals.

Player Position
Chase Brown RB
Khalil Herbert RB
Joe Burrow QB

Chargers Rushing

J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards and Justin Herbert are expected to lead the Chargers in rushing yards.

Player Position
J.K. Dobbins RB
Gus Edwards RB
Justin Herbert QB

Bengals Receiving

Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Mike Gesicki, Chase Brown and Andrei Iosivas are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bengals.

Player Position
Ja'Marr Chase WR
Tee Higgins WR
Mike Gesicki TE
Chase Brown RB
Andrei Iosivas WR

Chargers Receiving

Ladd McConkey, Will Dissly, Quentin Johnston, Joshua Palmer and Hayden Hurst are projected to lead the Chargers in receiving yards.

Player Position
Ladd McConkey WR
Will Dissly TE
Quentin Johnston WR
Joshua Palmer WR
Hayden Hurst TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Chargers, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Bengals on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bengals vs. Chargers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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