Chiefs vs. Texans Week 15 Prediction and Odds - Dec 18, 2022

The Houston Texans square off with the favored Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 15 action at NRG Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Chiefs vs. Texans, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

Who will win Chiefs vs. Texans?

Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Chiefs-Texans NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chiefs an 88% chance of getting the W against the Texans in Week 15 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Chiefs vs. Texans

Chiefs vs. Texans Game Odds

• Spread: Texans +15 (-107), Chiefs -15 (-107)
• Moneyline: Texans +700, Chiefs -800
• Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Texans are listed as +15 underdogs versus the Chiefs, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Chiefs (-15) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on offer at -107.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +700, which means you can throw down $100 to profit $700, earning a total payout of $800, if they win.

Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -800, where you can risk $800 to win $100, for a total payout of $900, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 49.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, make sure you check all the legal sportbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Texans (+15) are a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 49.5 points is a 55% chance of going Under.

More: Best Bets for Every NFL Matchup

Best Bets for Chiefs vs. Texans

• Spread: Texans +15 @ -107 via PointsBet (56% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Texans @ +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Total: Under 49.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (55% probability)

When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Dimers' best free picks today across any sport.

Our best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to help you make smarter decisions with the legal sportsbooks in the USA.

While the Chiefs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Texans moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Kansas City vs. Houston at NRG Stadium in Week 15 has the Chiefs winning 30-17.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Chiefs-Texans matchup in Week 15, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live scores.

Chiefs vs. Texans Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs. Texans? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chiefs and Texans, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Texans.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 14.9% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 59.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 14.9% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 11.2% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 8.3% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 6.9% probability
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 5.9% probability

Houston Texans

• Rex Burkhead: 5.8% probability
• Jeff Driskel: 5.2% probability
• Chris Moore: 4.4% probability
• Jordan Akins: 4.2% probability
• Phillip Dorsett: 3.4% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 59.6% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 48.0% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 37.9% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 32.1% probability
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 28.6% probability

Houston Texans

• Rex Burkhead: 29.0% probability
• Jeff Driskel: 26.4% probability
• Chris Moore: 22.2% probability
• Jordan Akins: 21.3% probability
• Phillip Dorsett: 18.4% probability

Chiefs-Texans Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to have a big game with 317 passing yards. The Texans' Davis Mills is expected to throw for just 189 yards.

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 317 projected yards

Texans Starting QB

• Davis Mills: 189 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

• Isiah Pacheco: 70 projected yards
• Patrick Mahomes: 28 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 24 projected yards

Texans Rushing

• Rex Burkhead: 38 projected yards
• Jeff Driskel: 23 projected yards
• Dare Ogunbowale: 18 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 86 projected yards
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 77 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 38 projected yards
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 34 projected yards
• Kadarius Toney: 26 projected yards

Texans Receiving

• Chris Moore: 56 projected yards
• Phillip Dorsett: 36 projected yards
• Jordan Akins: 31 projected yards
• Amari Rodgers: 30 projected yards
• Rex Burkhead: 18 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting analysis before Chiefs vs. Texans on Sunday December 18, 2022.

Chiefs vs. Texans 2022

The NFL Week 15 game between the Texans and Chiefs at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday December 18, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium

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What other NFL games are on today?

The Chiefs and Texans aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for every single NFL game via our NFL Predictions page.

Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out today!