Chiefs vs. Raiders Week 18 Prediction and Odds - Jan 7, 2023

Updated: Dec 21, 2023, 3:24 PM ET | First published: Jan 2, 2023, 8:51 PM ET

Written by Kevin Hansen, Senior Sports Analyst

Chiefs vs. Raiders Week 18 Prediction and Odds - Jan 7, 2023

The Las Vegas Raiders take on the favored Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 18 action at Allegiant Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:30PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Chiefs vs. Raiders, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

Who will win Chiefs vs. Raiders?

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Chiefs-Raiders NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chiefs a 76% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 18 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Guide for Chiefs vs. Raiders

Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds

Spread: Raiders +9 (-110), Chiefs -9 (-110)
Moneyline: Raiders +345, Chiefs -375
Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Raiders are listed as +9 underdogs against the Chiefs, with -110 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Chiefs (-9) to cover the spread, Caesars Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on the market at -110.

Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Raiders at +345. That means you can bet $100 to profit $345, earning a total payout of $445, if they win.

On the other hand, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -375, where you can risk $375 to win $100, for a total payout of $475, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 52.5 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Raiders (+9) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 52.5 points is a 54% chance of going Under.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets for Chiefs vs. Raiders

Spread: Raiders +9 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (52% probability)
Moneyline: Raiders @ +345 via Caesars Sportsbook (2.0% edge)
Total: Under 52.5 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (54% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to help you make better decisions with the legal sportsbooks in your state.

While the Chiefs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Raiders moneyline is the best option because of the 2.0% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Kansas City vs. Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium in Week 18 has the Chiefs winning 29-21.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Chiefs-Raiders matchup in Week 18, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Raiders? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chiefs and Raiders, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first TD in Chiefs vs. Raiders.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 13.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Allegiant Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 56.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce: 13.4% probability
Jerick McKinnon: 9.8% probability
Patrick Mahomes: 6.9% probability
Isiah Pacheco: 6.3% probability
JuJu Smith-Schuster: 5.2% probability

Las Vegas Raiders

Davante Adams: 9.3% probability
Jarrett Stidham: 7.6% probability
Josh Jacobs: 6.7% probability
Hunter Renfrow: 4.2% probability
Darren Waller: 3.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce: 56.2% probability
Jerick McKinnon: 45.4% probability
Patrick Mahomes: 35.1% probability
Isiah Pacheco: 32.6% probability
JuJu Smith-Schuster: 26.9% probability

Las Vegas Raiders

Davante Adams: 45.3% probability
Jarrett Stidham: 37.5% probability
Josh Jacobs: 34.3% probability
Hunter Renfrow: 22.9% probability
Darren Waller: 20.0% probability

Chiefs-Raiders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to have a big game with 307 passing yards, while the Raiders' Jarrett Stidham is expected to throw for 208 yards.

Chiefs Starting QB

Patrick Mahomes: 307 projected yards

Raiders Starting QB

Jarrett Stidham: 208 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

Isiah Pacheco: 66 projected yards
Jerick McKinnon: 33 projected yards
Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards

Raiders Rushing

Josh Jacobs: 60 projected yards
Zamir White: 25 projected yards
Jarrett Stidham: 20 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

Travis Kelce: 92 projected yards
JuJu Smith-Schuster: 72 projected yards
Jerick McKinnon: 36 projected yards
Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 34 projected yards
Kadarius Toney: 28 projected yards

Raiders Receiving

Davante Adams: 80 projected yards
Hunter Renfrow: 36 projected yards
Darren Waller: 34 projected yards
Mack Hollins: 29 projected yards
Foster Moreau: 27 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Chiefs vs. Raiders on Saturday January 7, 2023.

Chiefs vs. Raiders 2023

The NFL Week 18 game between the Raiders and Chiefs at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:30PM ET.

Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Date: Saturday January 7, 2023
Time: 4:30PM ET / 1:30PM PT
Venue: Allegiant Stadium

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What other NFL games are on today?

Now you've got the 411 on Chiefs vs. Raiders, see the latest betting analysis for all upcoming NFL games in Dimers' NFL Bet Hub. There you can find probabilities and odds, and our best bets for each and every NFL matchup.

Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!

Written by

Kevin Hansen

Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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Chiefs vs. Raiders Week 18 Prediction and Odds - Jan 7, 2023

Who will win Chiefs vs. Raiders?