Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Week 4 Prediction and Odds - Oct 2, 2022

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers square off with the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 4 action at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

This Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay betting analysis is presented by FanDuel Sportsbook, which is currently offering an outstanding No Sweat First Bet deal for new customers.

Who will win Chiefs vs. Buccaneers?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Chiefs-Buccaneers NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Buccaneers a 59% chance of beating the Chiefs in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Simulated 10,000 Times

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Game Odds

• Spread: Buccaneers -1.5 (-114), Chiefs +1.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Buccaneers -125, Chiefs +112
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-105/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Buccaneers are currently -1.5 favorites against the Chiefs, with -114 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Chiefs (+1.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -106.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Buccaneers at -125. That means you can risk $125 to win $100, for a total payout of $225, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at +112, where you can bet $100 to profit $112, earning a total payout of $212, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out all the legal sportbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Buccaneers (-1.5) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 47.5 points is a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 4 Matchup

Best Bets for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers

• Spread: Buccaneers -1.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook (52% probability)
• Moneyline: Buccaneers @ -125 via DraftKings Sportsbook (59% probability)
• Total: Under 47.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (53% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay at Raymond James Stadium in Week 4 has the Buccaneers winning 24-22.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Chiefs-Buccaneers matchup in Week 4, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live scores.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Chiefs vs. Buccaneers? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chiefs and Buccaneers, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Mike Evans is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Buccaneers.

DimersBOT gives Evans an 11.5% chance of getting in for six first at Raymond James Stadium, while the Buccaneers WR is a 47.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 8.4% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 7.5% probability
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 6.0% probability
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 5.8% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 5.3% probability

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Mike Evans: 11.5% probability
• Leonard Fournette: 11.3% probability
• Chris Godwin: 7.2% probability
• Russell Gage: 5.7% probability
• Julio Jones: 3.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 37.4% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 33.5% probability
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 27.8% probability
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 27.3% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 26.4% probability

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Leonard Fournette: 48.1% probability
• Mike Evans: 47.5% probability
• Chris Godwin: 34.8% probability
• Russell Gage: 27.5% probability
• Julio Jones: 18.5% probability

Chiefs-Buccaneers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to have a big game with 277 passing yards. The Buccaneers' Tom Brady is expected to throw for a whopping 270 yards.

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 277 projected yards

Buccaneers Starting QB

• Tom Brady: 270 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 35 projected yards
• Patrick Mahomes: 22 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 20 projected yards

Buccaneers Rushing

• Leonard Fournette: 70 projected yards
• Rachaad White: 16 projected yards
• Tom Brady: 7 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 73 projected yards
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 59 projected yards
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 48 projected yards
• Mecole Hardman: 36 projected yards
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 24 projected yards

Buccaneers Receiving

• Mike Evans: 74 projected yards
• Chris Godwin: 54 projected yards
• Julio Jones: 45 projected yards
• Russell Gage: 40 projected yards
• Leonard Fournette: 25 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Chiefs vs. Buccaneers on Sunday October 2, 2022.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers 2022

The NFL Week 4 action between the Buccaneers and Chiefs at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Date: Sunday October 2, 2022
• Time: 8:20PM ET / 5:20PM PT
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium

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What other NFL games are on today?

The Chiefs and Buccaneers aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for every single NFL game via our NFL Predictions page.

Not only do we provide with you first-class predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out today!