Bears vs. Colts Prediction: Indianapolis Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 3 [2024]

The Indianapolis Colts will face the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 3 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Colts as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Bears-Colts game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Colts with a win probability of 56%, while the Bears have 44%."

Bears vs. Colts Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 3 game between the Colts and Bears at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts
• Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Colts and Bears gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Bears vs. Colts matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Colts vs. Bears picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Bears vs. Colts Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bears and Colts 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Colts a 56% chance of beating the Bears in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Colts winning 22-20.

According to our model, the Bears (+2) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

As well as the above Bears vs. Colts predictions, we also have the following locked and loaded for today's action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 3
• NFL Player Props for Week 3
• Touchdown Predictions for Week 3

Bears vs. Colts Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bears	Colts
Spread	+2 (-108)	-2 (-110)
Moneyline	+114	-125
Total	o43.5 (-106)	u43.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bears vs. Colts Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Bears vs. Colts matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bears vs. Colts TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Colts?

According to our model, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Colts.

Our projections give Taylor a 14.6% chance of getting in for six first at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Colts RB is a 55.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
DJ Moore	10.0%
D'Andre Swift	8.4%
Rome Odunze	6.2%

Indianapolis Colts

Player	First TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	14.6%
Anthony Richardson	12.6%
Michael Pittman	6.0%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
DJ Moore	41.2%
D'Andre Swift	35.9%
Rome Odunze	28.9%

Indianapolis Colts

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	55.0%
Anthony Richardson	50.0%
Michael Pittman	26.1%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 3 touchdown scorer predictions

Bears vs Colts Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Colts. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bears-Colts page now to access every player prop projection.

Bears vs. Colts Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected to throw for more yards than the Colts' Anthony Richardson.

Bears Rushing

D'Andre Swift, Khalil Herbert and Caleb Williams are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bears.

Player	Position
D'Andre Swift	RB
Khalil Herbert	RB
Caleb Williams	QB

Colts Rushing

Jonathan Taylor, Anthony Richardson and Trey Sermon are expected to lead the Colts in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Jonathan Taylor	RB
Anthony Richardson	QB
Trey Sermon	RB

Bears Receiving

DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet, DeAndre Carter and D'Andre Swift are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bears.

Player	Position
DJ Moore	WR
Rome Odunze	WR
Cole Kmet	TE
DeAndre Carter	WR
D'Andre Swift	RB

Colts Receiving

Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell and Jonathan Taylor are projected to lead the Colts in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Michael Pittman	WR
Josh Downs	WR
Alec Pierce	WR
Adonai Mitchell	WR
Jonathan Taylor	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Colts, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Bears on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Colts insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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