Bears vs. Texans Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 2 [2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Chicago Bears-Houston Texans Predictions and Game Preview.
NRG Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Chicago Bears and Houston Texans this Sunday.

The Houston Texans will face the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 2 action at NRG Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 8:20PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Texans as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Bears-Texans game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 71%, while the Bears have 29%."

Bears vs. Texans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 2 game between the Texans and Bears at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Bears vs. Texans matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Texans vs. Bears picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Bears vs. Texans Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Bears and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Texans a 71% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 25-19.

According to our model, the Bears (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Bears vs. Texans Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Bears Texans
Spread +6.5 (-105) -6.5 (-105)
Moneyline +240 -275
Total o45.5 (-110) u45.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bears vs. Texans Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Bears vs. Texans matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bears vs. Texans TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Texans?

According to our model, Houston's Joe Mixon is most likely to score the first TD in Bears vs. Texans.

Our projections give Mixon an 11.4% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB is a 46.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Chicago Bears

Player First TD Probability
DJ Moore 9.3%
D'Andre Swift 8.7%
Rome Odunze 6.3%

Houston Texans

Player First TD Probability
Joe Mixon 11.4%
Stefon Diggs 9.1%
Nico Collins 9.0%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Chicago Bears

Player Anytime TD Probability
DJ Moore 39.8%
D'Andre Swift 37.8%
Rome Odunze 28.8%

Houston Texans

Player Anytime TD Probability
Joe Mixon 46.6%
Nico Collins 39.2%
Stefon Diggs 39.1%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 2 touchdown scorer predictions

Bears vs Texans Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Texans. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bears-Texans page now to access every player prop projection.

Bears vs. Texans Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Texans' C.J. Stroud.

Bears Rushing

D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Khalil Herbert are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bears.

Player Position
D'Andre Swift RB
Caleb Williams QB
Khalil Herbert RB

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, C.J. Stroud and Dameon Pierce are expected to lead the Texans in rushing yards.

Player Position
Joe Mixon RB
C.J. Stroud QB
Dameon Pierce RB

Bears Receiving

DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet, Gerald Everett and DeAndre Carter are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bears.

Player Position
DJ Moore WR
Rome Odunze WR
Cole Kmet TE
Gerald Everett TE
DeAndre Carter WR

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Tank Dell, Stefon Diggs, Dalton Schultz and Joe Mixon are projected to lead the Texans in receiving yards.

Player Position
Nico Collins WR
Tank Dell WR
Stefon Diggs WR
Dalton Schultz TE
Joe Mixon RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Bears on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay updated with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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