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Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 18 [2024]
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NFL Week 18 action continues on Sunday at 4:25PM ET as the Chicago Bears square off with the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.
Dimers.com's full betting preview for Sunday's Bears vs. Packers matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Bears vs. Packers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used advanced machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bears and Packers 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL predictions.
Our famous predictive analytics model currently gives the Packers a 61% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 18 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Packers winning 24-21.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and both the Bears and Packers have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 45.5 points also has a 51% chance of going over.
Today's Chicago vs. Green Bay betting preview is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.
Bears vs. Packers Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bears | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-102) | -2.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -148 |
| Total | o45.5 (-112) | u45.5 (-105) |
- The Packers are listed as -2.5 favorites against the Bears, with -118 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Bears (+2.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings also has the best odds currently on offer at -102.
- DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Packers at -148. That means you can risk $148 to win $100 for a total payout of $248 if they get the W.
- Elsewhere, BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at +130, where you can put down $100 to profit $130, earning a total payout of $230 if they win.
- The Over/Under is set at 45.5 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -112, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Bears vs. Packers Picks
By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks for this game:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears +2.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Packers | -148 |
| Total | Over 45.5 | -112 |
Dimers' NFL best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting expertise to serve you the best possible plays every week of the season.
Bears vs. Packers TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Packers?
According to our model, Chicago's Justin Fields is most likely to score the first TD in Bears vs. Packers.
Our projections give Fields a 12.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Lambeau Field, while the Bears QB is a 51.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Chicago Bears
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Justin Fields | 12.5% |
| Khalil Herbert | 9.0% |
| DJ Moore | 8.5% |
| Roschon Johnson | 6.5% |
| Tyler Scott | 4.8% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 12.0% |
| Jayden Reed | 7.9% |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 7.1% |
| Romeo Doubs | 6.4% |
| Jordan Love | 5.1% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Chicago Bears
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Justin Fields | 51.0% |
| Khalil Herbert | 39.8% |
| DJ Moore | 37.2% |
| Roschon Johnson | 30.4% |
| Tyler Scott | 22.9% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 50.2% |
| Jayden Reed | 34.5% |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 32.4% |
| Romeo Doubs | 29.3% |
| Jordan Love | 24.7% |
Bears vs Packers Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Bears and Packers, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Bears vs. Packers Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Justin Fields is projected for 205 passing yards, while the Packers' Jordan Love is expected to throw for 223 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Justin Fields (CHI) | 205 yds |
| Jordan Love (GB) | 223 yds |
Bears Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Khalil Herbert | 76 yds |
| Justin Fields | 65 yds |
| Roschon Johnson | 23 yds |
Packers Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 79 yds |
| Patrick Taylor | 20 yds |
| Jordan Love | 16 yds |
Bears Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| DJ Moore | 88 yds |
| Cole Kmet | 40 yds |
| Tyler Scott | 30 yds |
| Roschon Johnson | 17 yds |
| Khalil Herbert | 15 yds |
Packers Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Jayden Reed | 55 yds |
| Romeo Doubs | 41 yds |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 35 yds |
| Tucker Kraft | 28 yds |
| Bo Melton | 24 yds |
Don't forget, our model updates often, so check this page for the latest betting analysis before the Bears vs. Packers on Sunday January 7, 2024.
Bears vs. Packers Game Information
The NFL Week 18 matchup between the Packers and Bears at Lambeau Field is scheduled to start at 4:25PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
- Date: Sunday January 7, 2024
- Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
- Venue: Lambeau Field
Our full betting coverage of Bears vs. Packers includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.
How to Bet on Bears vs. Packers
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Bears vs. Packers Week 14 game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
Our picks and predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Bears vs. Packers picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee at no additional cost to you.
More on NFL
Stay up-to-date with the most recent NFL news and our analytics-driven NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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