Bears vs. Packers Prediction: Green Bay Predicted to Win in NFL Week 18 [2025]

The Green Bay Packers will face the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 18 action at Lambeau Field on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Chicago-Green Bay game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Packers with a win probability of 83%, while the Bears have 17%."

This updated Bears vs. Packers betting preview builds on my early Bears vs. Packers prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bears vs. Packers predictions page.

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Bears vs. Packers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 18 matchup between the Packers and Bears at Lambeau Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
• Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Lambeau Field
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Packers and Bears gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Bears vs. Packers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Chicago vs. Green Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Bears vs. Packers Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bears and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Packers an 83% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 18 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 25-16.

According to our model, the Bears (+10.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41 points has a 52% chance of going over.

Bears vs. Packers Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bears	Packers
Spread	+10.5 (-118)	-10.5 (-104)
Moneyline	+385	-410
Total	o41 (-110)	u41 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bears vs. Packers Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Bears vs. Packers matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bears vs. Packers TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Packers?

According to our model, Green Bay's Josh Jacobs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Packers.

Our projections give Jacobs a 14.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Lambeau Field, while the Packers RB is a 51.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
DJ Moore	7.8%
D'Andre Swift	7.4%
Keenan Allen	7.1%

Green Bay Packers

Player	First TD Probability
Josh Jacobs	14.0%
Jayden Reed	7.4%
Tucker Kraft	6.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
DJ Moore	32.2%
D'Andre Swift	31.8%
Keenan Allen	30.8%

Green Bay Packers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Josh Jacobs	51.4%
Jayden Reed	30.3%
Tucker Kraft	28.2%

Bears vs Packers Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Packers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bears-Packers page now to access every player prop projection.

Bears vs. Packers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Packers' Jordan Love.

Bears Rushing

D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Roschon Johnson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bears.

Player	Position
D'Andre Swift	RB
Caleb Williams	QB
Roschon Johnson	RB

Packers Rushing

Josh Jacobs, Emanuel Wilson and Jordan Love are expected to lead the Packers in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Josh Jacobs	RB
Emanuel Wilson	RB
Jordan Love	QB

Bears Receiving

DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and D'Andre Swift are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bears.

Player	Position
DJ Moore	WR
Keenan Allen	WR
Rome Odunze	WR
Cole Kmet	TE
D'Andre Swift	RB

Packers Receiving

Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, Tucker Kraft, Dontayvion Wicks and Christian Watson are projected to lead the Packers in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Romeo Doubs	WR
Jayden Reed	WR
Tucker Kraft	TE
Dontayvion Wicks	WR
Christian Watson	WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 18 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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