Bears vs. Lions Prediction: Detroit Predicted to Win Thanksgiving Day NFL Matchup [2024]

The Detroit Lions will square off with the Chicago Bears in NFL Thanksgiving Day action at Ford Field on Thanksgiving Day, starting at 12:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Chicago-Detroit game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lions with a win probability of 78% and the Bears with 22%."

This updated Bears vs. Lions betting preview builds on my early Bears vs. Lions prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Bears vs. Lions predictions page.

Plus, check out our analysis of the most likely touchdown scorers for each 2024 NFL Thanksgiving matchup.

BLACK FRIDAY EXCLUSIVE: Use code PROFRIDAY at checkout now to get three months of Dimers Pro for the price of one! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

3 Months of Pro for the Price of 1 With Code PROFRIDAY

Get Dimers Pro

Bears vs. Lions Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 13 matchup between the Lions and Bears at Ford Field is scheduled to begin at 12:30PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions
• Date: Thursday, November 28, 2024 (Thanksgiving Day)
• Time: 12:30PM ET/9:30AM PT
• Venue: Ford Field
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Lions and Bears gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Bears vs. Lions matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Chicago vs. Detroit picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Bears vs. Lions Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL game between the Bears and Lions 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lions a 78% chance of beating the Bears in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 27-18.

According to our model, the Bears (+9.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Along with our Bears vs. Lions predictions, we've also prepared the following for this week's action:

• NFL Odds Week 13
• NFL Week 13 Picks Straight Up
• NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 13

Bears vs. Lions Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bears vs. Lions Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Bears vs. Lions matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Unlock Every Bears-Lions Pick

Get Dimers Pro

Bears vs. Lions TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs. Lions?

According to our model, Detroit's David Montgomery is most likely to score the first TD in Bears vs. Lions.

Our projections give Montgomery a 16.5% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Lions RB is a 62.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Chicago Bears

Detroit Lions

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Chicago Bears

Detroit Lions

Bears vs Lions Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Lions. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Bears-Lions page now to access every player prop projection.

Bears vs. Lions Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Lions' Jared Goff.

Bears Rushing

D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Roschon Johnson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Bears.

Lions Rushing

Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery and Jared Goff are expected to lead the Lions in rushing yards.

Bears Receiving

DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and D'Andre Swift are projected to top the receiving yards for the Bears.

Lions Receiving

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs and Tim Patrick are projected to lead the Lions in receiving yards.

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Bears vs. Lions predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits.

FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 13 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet wins, plus score three months of NBA League Pass regardless of the bet result!

Sports Betting Deals Available for Thanksgiving

• Bet365 bonus code for Thanksgiving
• Our guide to unlocking FanDuel's Thanksgiving promo
• Secure a $150 bonus from DraftKings

Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 13 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Lions insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.