Chasing 60: MLB Home Run Leaders and Predicting Close Races in MLB's Final Weekend

The final weekend of the MLB regular season is here and not without plenty of drama. The Mets and Braves are locked into a Wild Card race with a rain-delayed doubleheader poised for Monday, the day after the regular season ends. Sluggers like Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani continue to chase milestones while the Chicago White Sox are one loss away from the worst record in MLB history.

With the final weekend of the regular MLB season upon us, several of baseball's most exciting stars are poised to hit major statistical milestones and as bettors, these moments can present fun opportunities. From home run races to steal counts and hit milestones, this weekend will showcase top talents giving their all for a memorable finish.

Below, we've broken down some of the most notable players chasing these milestones, as well as have included any DimersBOT data we have to help you bet these moments with confidence.

Aaron Judge (Yankees) 2 HR away from 60

Who else would we start with? The New York Yankees' captain Aaron Judge is on the brink of another 60+ HR season, sitting just 2 home runs away from reaching 60 on the year. Known for his massive power, Judge is looking to become one of the few players to hit 60 HRs in multiple seasons, and perhaps even pass his own AL record of 62 if he can club five more.

Can Judge muscle his way to this massive number in the final games against the Pirates?

Dimers HR probability vs. Pirates on 9/27: 33.2% at +250 odds

MORE: 250+ MLB Props for Today's Games

Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) – 2 HR away from a 55/55 Season

Shohei Ohtani continues to redefine what’s possible in baseball, as the Dodgers phenom is just 2 home runs away from a jaw-dropping 55/55 (55 HRs and 55 stolen bases) season. Already a lock for the NL MVP, Ohtani will face the Colorado Rockies in Coors Field, the perfect set up as he looks to close out his campaign on an extraordinary note.

Dimers HR probability vs. Rockies on 9/27: 24.6% at 200 odds
 

Shohei Ohtani chases a 55 HR and 55 SB season.

Marcell Ozuna (Braves) – 1 HR away 40

Marcell Ozuna of the Atlanta Braves has quietly been having a fantastic year at the dish. Needing just one more home run to cap off a 40-HR season, he has a strong chance to achieve this feat in the Braves’ series against the Kansas City Royals this weekend, before the 2-game doubleheader vs. the Mets on Monday.

Dimers HR probability vs. Royals on 9/27: 26.7% at +375 odds

José Ramírez (Guardians) – 2 HR away from a 40/40 Season

The Guardians' dynamic slugger José Ramírez is within striking distance of joining the coveted 40/40 club, needing just 2 more home runs. J-Ram’s elite combination of power and speed could see him finish the year with 40 HRs and 40 stolen bases if he can produce some fireworks against the Houston Astros.

Both numbers would be career highs for the slugger, whose previous career high marks were 39 HR and 34 SB in 2019.

Dimers HR probability vs. Astros on 9/27: 22.3% at +400 odds

Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) – 2 HR away from 40

Kyle Schwarber is just 2 home runs away from reaching the 40 HR mark. Schwarber, already known for his massive power displays, will take aim during the Phillies' series against the Nationals.

He's already set an MLB record with 15 leadoff home runs this season and could add to that total even further.

Dimers HR probability vs. Nationals on 9/27: 31.5% at +250 odds

Today's highest RBI edge and second-highest HR edge

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Brent Rooker (Athletics) – 2 HR away from 40

The Athletics' outfielder is having a career year in his second season in an A's uniform.

After sending out the Oakland Coliseum with a win on Thursday night, Rooker will look to add to his personal tally and blow by last year's career high of 30 home runs.

Dimers HR probability vs. Mariners on 9/27: 24.2% at +470 odds

Jake Burger (Marlins), Matt Olson (Braves), Manny Machado (Padres) & Eugenio Suárez (Diamondbacks) – 1 HR away from 30

Jake Burger, Matt Olson, Manny Machado, and Eugenio Suárez are all on the cusp of 30 HR seasons. Each slugger needs just 1 more homer to hit the 30-HR milestone, and with a weekend full of games, we could see some serious fireworks.

They've all hit this mark before but it would be a first for Jake Burger to achieve on a single team, as he was traded midseason last year.

Dimers HR probabilities on 9:27:

• Burger: 19.5% at +400
• Olson: 26.8% at +375
• Machado: 17.5% at +430
• Suarez: 16.3% at +530

Matt Olson (Braves) & Eugenio Suárez (Diamondbacks) – 2 RBI away from 100

Building on their HR milestones, both Matt Olson and Eugenio Suárez are just 2 RBIs away from reaching 100 for the season. Olson has been an anchor in the Braves’ lineup, while Suárez has provided a steady source of power for the Diamondbacks, and both will look to break the century mark in their weekend series.

They could even get this done with one swing if there's a baserunner ahead of them.

Dimers RBI probabilities on 9/27:

• Olson: 52.9% at +150
• Suarez: 32.1% at +180

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) & Luis Arraez (Padres) – Chasing 200+ Hits

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Toronto Blue Jays) and Luis Arraez (Miami Marlins) are both closing in on 200 hits. Vlad needs just 3 hits, while Arraez needs 4 to reach this impressive milestone. Vlad has been a cornerstone of the Blue Jays lineup, and Arraez, known for his batting average, will look to make history in the final stretch.

Dimers HIT probabilities on 9/27:

• Guerrero Jr.: 78.5%
• Arraez: 79.1%

Brenton Doyle (Rockies) – 1 SB from 30

The Rockies' speedster Brenton Doyle is only 1 stolen base away from reaching 30 on the year. Doyle has been an underrated threat on the base paths, and it wouldn't be surprising to see him swipe that final bag in the Rockies’ series against the Dodgers.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees) – 2 SB away from a 20/40 Season

Miami Marlins’ electric Jazz Chisholm Jr. is just 2 stolen bases away from finishing a remarkable 20 HR/40 SB season. Known for his flashy style and athleticism, Jazz has the speed to add a couple more steals in the Marlins’ weekend matchups with the Blue Jays.

With matchups like the Yankees vs. Pirates, Braves vs. Nationals, and Blue Jays vs. Marlins lined up this weekend, baseball fans are in for a thrilling finish to the season. Whether it's a home run race or a final push for a stolen base milestone, these players will be giving it their all for a strong closing performance. Let’s see who can cash in on their statistical chases before the regular season wraps up!

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